To provide the best experiences, we use technologies like cookies to store and/or access device information. Consenting to these technologies will allow us to process data such as browsing behavior or unique IDs on this site. Not consenting or withdrawing consent, may adversely affect certain features and functions.
The technical storage or access is strictly necessary for the legitimate purpose of enabling the use of a specific service explicitly requested by the subscriber or user, or for the sole purpose of carrying out the transmission of a communication over an electronic communications network.
The technical storage or access is necessary for the legitimate purpose of storing preferences that are not requested by the subscriber or user.
The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for statistical purposes.
The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for anonymous statistical purposes. Without a subpoena, voluntary compliance on the part of your Internet Service Provider, or additional records from a third party, information stored or retrieved for this purpose alone cannot usually be used to identify you.
The technical storage or access is required to create user profiles to send advertising, or to track the user on a website or across several websites for similar marketing purposes.
Unlock with Patreon
If the same swing against Labor was repeated here again in 2026 Labor would narrowly lose this seat.
This is a Dark horse for a Liberal win. There is some anger over Western Highway/Melton line which while outside the electorate is critical. However, Metro tunnel and now Sunbury line is level crossing free will help mitigate this. Also Labor will probably devote resouces to sandbag this seat which they did not in 2022 which should mitigate the swing as well.
Hi @Ben Raue. The incumbent MP should be Natalie Hutchins since 2014, and the margin should be ALP 8.8%.
The Memeber for Sydenham and Allan Government minister Natalie Hutchins has announced she will not contest the 2026 state election. It’s still very diffcult for the Liberal Party to win a red wall seat like Sydenham even without a sitting Labor MP’s personal vote. However, if the West Party runs a candidate who is well-known in the community and campaigns hard, it may win the seat from Labor. https://www.premier.vic.gov.au/statement-premier-160
Natalie Hutchins will not be recontesting. Notable that so far Labor retirements are coming from seats the Libs have some sort of shot at winning.
Labor doing some sandbagging will be enough for them to retain barring a shock Lib landslide that no one saw coming but it takes resources from other seats that they need to be defending.