McPherson – Australia 2019

LNP 11.6%

Incumbent MP
Karen Andrews, since 2010.

Geography
Southern end of the Gold Coast. McPherson covers the Gold Coast’s border with New South Wales and stretches up the coast to Burleigh Heads and covers inland Gold Coast as far north as Clear Island Waters and Merrimac.

Redistribution
No change.

History
McPherson was created as part of the expansion of the House of Representatives in 1949, and it has always been held by Coalition parties: by the Country Party until 1972 and by the Liberal Party from 1972 until the Liberal National Party merger in recent years.

The seat was first won in 1949 by Country Party leader Arthur Fadden, who became Treasurer in the post-war Menzies government. Fadden had briefly served as Prime Minister during the Second World War and had previously held Darling Downs since 1936.

Fadden held the seat until his retirement in 1958, when he was replaced by the Country Party’s Charles Barnes. Barnes served as a minister from 1963 until just before the 1972 election, and retired at that election.

At the 1972 election the seat of McPherson was lost by the Country Party to Liberal candidate Eric Robinson. Robinson served as a junior minister in the first term of the Fraser government and was appointed Finance Minister in 1977. He briefly stood down in 1979 due to a dispute with Malcolm Fraser, and was dropped from the ministry after the 1980 election. He died suddenly in January 1981.

The 1981 by-election was won by state Liberal MP Peter White, who defeated National Country Party senator Glen Sheil. White held McPherson at the 1983, 1984 and 1987 elections, and retired in 1990.

McPherson was won in 1990 by the Liberal Party’s John Bradford. Bradford held the seat until 1998. In April 1998 he resigned from the Liberal Party and joined the Christian Democratic Party. He contested the Senate in Queensland in 1998 for the CDP but was not elected.

McPherson was won in 1998 by Margaret May, who held the seat for the next four terms. May briefly served as a shadow minister under Brendan Nelson and Malcolm Turnbull but then returned to the backbench and retired in 2010.

At the 2010 election, the LNP’s Karen Andrews won the seat, and she was re-elected in 2013 and 2016.

Candidates

Assessment
McPherson is a safe Liberal seat.

2016 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Karen Andrews Liberal National 47,284 53.3 +3.1
Sandy Gadd Labor 23,069 26.0 +3.3
Peter Burgoyne Greens 9,119 10.3 +3.4
Simon Green Family First 5,404 6.1 +2.4
Rob Jones Independent 3,850 4.3 +4.3
Informal 4,151 4.5

2016 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Karen Andrews Liberal National 54,687 61.6 -1.4
Sandy Gadd Labor 34,039 38.4 +1.4

Booth breakdown

Booths have been divided into three areas:

  • North-East – Burleigh, Varsity Lakes.
  • North-West – Mudgeeraba, Reedy Creek, Robina.
  • South – Coolangatta, Currumbin, Elanora, Palm Beach, Tallebudgera.

The LNP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 56.5% in the south to 64% in the north-west.

The Greens primary vote ranged from 8.4% in the north-west to 13.3% in the south.

Voter group GRN prim % LNP 2PP % Total votes % of votes
South 13.3 56.5 20,350 22.9
North-West 8.4 64.2 12,976 14.6
North-East 11.2 59.0 12,281 13.8
Other votes 9.2 64.0 13,372 15.1
Pre-poll 9.2 64.0 29,747 33.5

Election results in McPherson at the 2016 federal election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and Greens primary votes.


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5 COMMENTS

  1. Karen was on Credlin Tues night. Super cool lady. Scary good. The Lib blokes should be very worried…..

    With 1 labor booth nothin is going to happen here.
    KA was born in Townsville, & said they are going after ALP seats in QLD. Sounds like K O’Toole has a new BFF….

  2. Something makes me think that Andrews will be promoted to the Senior frontbench soon after all these retirements, It would be interesting to see where she will be put considering 3-5 Ministers are likely to lose their seats at this election

  3. Karen Andrews is already a Minister for Science etc. She is invisible in the electorate, sends out a brochure occasionally boasting about how hard she has worked to get funding for the M1. Not actually true.

  4. I live in the electorate and can say I always see her doing some form of engagement within the community. You must not be paying attention.

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