Sydenham – Victoria 2026

@Nimalan, I think the potential hypothetical ONP Vote would have a very similar dynamic to the Voice Referendum given areas with a large amount of second and third generation Southern/Eastern Europeans had amongst the highest No Vote for Voice in Greater Melbourne even more so than their Anglo Counterparts. There are some factors that might explain the trend.

1) They can easily combine Ancestral Homeland Conservatism with Australian Conservativism given they are Christian and European which bodes well with Conservative and Religious Anglos. The reason why that it is much harder for non-White CALD to the same is that being in a different race and religion (in most cases) makes it harder to combine Ancestral Homeland Conservatism with Australian Conservativism as even if even they have some common values like LGBT Rights, there are larger number of opposing values that would significantly differentiates between them.

2) Second and Third generation Southern/Eastern Europeans also have a higher proportion becoming Tradies and Self-Employed while conversely less likely to pursue University Education.

3) ONP and mainstream Nationalist will no longer see them a threat because of 1) so in return Southern/Eastern Europeans no longer see them as a threat.
4) Southern/Eastern Europeans came under the White Australia Policy and an immigration policy was more on integration especially during the post war era.

@ Marh
I agree with your points above. Also many politicians in the Ancestoral homeland like Victor Orban, Georgia Meloni and the Law and Justice Party in Poland are adminered by the Right wing across the Anglosphere while Conservative Muslim regimes are hated by the West. I think there maybe small number of mixed Non Europeans who maybe Right wing but they are too small to get a sample size
For examples
a. Anglo-Indians
b. Anglo-Burmeese
c. Sri Lankan Burghers
d. Indo people (mixed Dutch)
e. Eurasians from HK and Singapore
4. Kristang people from Malaysia

These people are culturally Westernsided, Christian and have European sounding name many also migrated to Australia in the post War Era as there homelands decolonised. I think Middle Eastern Christians like Maronites and Copts maybe the next to show this trend.
I think Religion is a factor while Greek Cypriots like Steve Christou/Drew Pavlou can embrace nationalism i doubt it a Turkish Cypriot gets the same previleges. A Croatian can vote ONP but a Bosniak like Ed Husic cannot.

@Nimalan, I think the only non-white CALD that ONP can even appeal might be people like the Liberal Member of Warrandyte Nicole Werner even if she is a child of Malaysian Chinese immigrants given she is part of the Conservative Pentecostal Megachurch, married to a White Man and her parents came during 1980s so she can be seen as white-passing conservative (if race wasn’t taken into account) which is considered by many in the One Nation base as the only acceptable non-white Australian. Regarding Mixed-race, I think they are just more like Anglo in having the diverse range in point of views and issues.

We need to note latest second generation full blooded Asian Australians who are westernised actually adopted this in a more Western Liberal way rather than Western Conservative way.