Bragg – SA 2014

LIB 20.1%

Incumbent MP
Vickie Chapman, since 2002.

Geography
Eastern Adelaide. Bragg covers suburbs of Adelaide, stretching from those immediately to the south-east of the Adelaide city centre, out to southern parts of the Adelaide Hills. Most of the electorate’s population lies in the City of Burnside, with a minority in the Adelaide Hills and a small area in Norwood Payneham and St Peters.

Map of Bragg's 2010 and 2014 boundaries. 2010 boundaries marked as red lines, 2014 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.
Map of Bragg’s 2010 and 2014 boundaries. 2010 boundaries marked as red lines, 2014 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.

Redistribution
Territory was swapped with Hartley to the north, and Bragg gained a small area from Morialta. This reduced the Liberal Party’s margin from 21.3% to 20.1%.

History
The electorate of Bragg has existed since 1970, and has always been held by the Liberal Party.

The seat was first won in 1970 by David Tonkin. He was elected Liberal leader in 1975, and after losing the 1977 election, he led the Liberal Party into government in 1979. He served as Premier for one term, losing in 1982. He resigned from Parliament in 1983.

Graham Ingerson was elected to Bragg at the 1983 Bragg by-election. He served in the ministry from 1993, and as Deputy Premier from 1996, until he resigned from both roles in 1998. Ingerson retired at the 2002 election.

Vickie Chapman was elected in Bragg at the 2002 election. She served as Liberal Party deputy leader from 2006 to 2009, and again since February 2013.

Candidates
Sitting Liberal MP Vickie Chapman is running for re-election. The Greens are running Ami Harrison.

Assessment
Bragg is a very safe Liberal seat.

2010 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Vickie Chapman LIB 13,726 64.0 +9.1
Ben Dineen ALP 4,426 20.6 -6.0
Brendan Fitzgerald GRN 2,679 12.5 +2.4
Nick Zollo FF 614 2.9 -1.0

2010 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Vickie Chapman LIB 15,257 71.3 +9.3
Ben Dineen ALP 6,188 28.7 -9.3
Polling places in Bragg at the 2010 state election. East in blue, North in orange, West in green. Click to enlarge.
Polling places in Bragg at the 2010 state election. East in blue, North in orange, West in green. Click to enlarge.

Booth breakdown
Booths have been divided into three parts: east, north and west. The ‘east’ lies entirely within the Adelaide Hills, while most of the north and west are in the City of Burnside.

The Liberal Party won large majorities in all three parts of the seat, ranging from 67.1% in the east to 72.5% in the west.

The Greens polled over 20% in the east of the electorate, outpolling the ALP. The Greens polled between 10% and 12% in the north and west.

Voter group GRN % LIB 2PP % Total votes % of ordinary votes
North 11.40 69.18 10,033 54.74
West 10.39 72.49 5,988 32.67
East 20.07 67.06 2,307 12.59
Other votes 12.56 71.79 4,435
Two-party-preferred votes in Bragg at the 2010 state election.
Two-party-preferred votes in Bragg at the 2010 state election.
Greens primary votes in Bragg at the 2010 state election.
Greens primary votes in Bragg at the 2010 state election.

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