SA election – how do we predict Nick Xenophon’s vote?

The recent Queensland election produced a dilemma for us electoral analysts: polls suggested One Nation would perform strongly, but the party had no recent history of contesting seats in most of Queensland at state elections. We relied instead on the results of the 2016 federal...

Support the Tally Room on Patreon

I've been running this website now for just over nine years, and in that time I've put in thousands of hours of work, in particular making election guides and electoral boundary maps, more recently expanding into producing clean election results datasets free for use. A...

New England by-election live

7:55 - I won't bother making any more updates now - once we have most of the results in I'll put together a booth breakdown and post that. 7:22 - No evidence so far that the voters of New England have judged Joyce harshly for...

QLD election – where we stand

Well that was an interesting election night! Almost one third of seats have a candidate other than Labor or the LNP in the top two, with a few others where a minor party is threatening for the top two. We also have numerous seats...

QLD election night live

10:57pm - There won't be anymore to contribute here tonight. Please head over to the Guardian liveblog if you want to read more of my thoughts. I'll be back tomorrow with a Guardian piece, and will put something together for this website too. 9:46pm -...

QLD election eve prediction thread

Polls will open in 25 hours in Queensland and the comments threads have been lighting up here with people discussing each electorate. In particular there have been a few people posting their predictions on each seat guide. So I thought I would resurrect an old tradition...

Bennelong and New England guides posted

In addition to the complete guide to this weekend's Queensland state election, I've now posted guides to the federal by-elections in New England (December 2) and Bennelong (December 16). Enjoy! Bennelong New England

Northcote by-election results live

10:25pm - As my last contribution for tonight, here is a map of the booth results and the Greens swing (which can be toggled). 8:23pm - I'm gonna turn off for a little while and will come back once most of the votes have reported. 8:22pm...

Marriage survey results – liveblog

11:41am - I won't be making any more posts in this thread but I might come back later today with a summary. 10:54am - Eleven of the 'no' seats are held by Labor MPs. Five of the other six are held by the Coalition, and...

QLD 2017 – final candidates locked in

Nominations closed on Tuesday for the Queensland state election, so I've done one last update for my candidate list. There are 453 candidates running: an average of 4.87 per seat. Labor, the Liberal National Party and the Greens are all running a full ticket. There are...