Preference data that could inform a hung parliament

There is a lot of speculation about the potential for a hung parliament in NSW, legitimately in my opinion. In today's post, the last examining...

What votes make up the 2PP?

As a follow up to last week's series of articles on preference flows, I wanted to understand which voters end up in the two-party-preferred...

The numbers for the upcoming NT redistribution

Everyone including myself is closely focused on the NSW state election, but I wanted to draw a bit of attention to an upcoming redistribution,...

NSW 2023 – Nominations close

Nominations were declared yesterday in the New South Wales state election. There has been a slight reduction in the number of candidates in the...

How preferences flow between Greens and Labor

This blog post was inspired by some discussion about the race in the seat of Lismore. Labor candidate Janelle Saffin came second in 2019,...

NSW 2023 – 2PP preference flows by party under OPV

In yesterday's blog post, I looked at how many numbers voters tend to fill out on their ballot paper. Today I'm going to look...

How people fill out their ballots in NSW

In this blog post I'll be analysing how much people fill out their ballot paper, and how it differs between parties and based on...

NSW 2023 – where preferences have flowed over time

The New South Wales Legislative Assembly has been elected by the optional preferential voting (OPV) method since 1981. Unlike compulsory preferential voting (CPV) which...

Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election

The podcast is back, and Ben is joined by Rodney Smith from the University of Sydney and Michael McGowan from the Guardian to discuss...

When local council parties break into state politics

During the most recent NSW council elections, I wrote repeatedly about how party systems for local councils are not the same as the state...