Toowoomba South results

Voters in the Queensland state seat of Toowoomba South voted today in a by-election to succeed Liberal National MP John McVeigh, who had resigned...

Close seats – two weeks in

It's now been two weeks since polls opened, and we are now getting very close to a conclusion of the House of Representatives count. There...

Close seats – Thursday morning update

We're getting close to the end! In this update, I am calling two more seats for Labor, leaving only one seat up for grabs. This...

Senate preferences – how might they flow? Part 2

Following yesterday's post analysing the NSW, VIC and QLD Senate counts, here's my analysis of Western Australia, South Australia and an update of the...

Senate preferences – how might they flow? Part 1

Up until now, I've largely ignored preferences when working out who are the leading contenders for Senate seats. While the new system will likely...

Close seats – Tuesday morning update

Sorry there was no update yesterday - I only have limited time each day and I devoted it to my takedown of electronic voting...

Close seats – Sunday morning update

I didn't get a chance to do an update yesterday morning as I headed over to Moorebank to observe the NSW Senate count - I'll...

Close seats – Friday morning update

We've made some more progress yesterday, and I believe we can narrow this list from nine to seven seats today. As a reminder, the first four...

Below the lines in Tasmania show potential for upset

The Senate data published on election night was very messy. For a start, it didn't make any effort to distinguish above-the-line and below-the-line votes, instead...

Close seats – Thursday morning update

Quite a bit of counting took place yesterday. Yesterday we narrowed the list of seats to watch from 17 to 12, and today I think...