ALP 25.4%
Incumbent MP
Emily Hamilton, since 2017.
- Geography
- Redistribution
- History
- Candidate summary
- Assessment
- 2021 results
- Booth breakdown
- Results maps
Geography
Northern Perth. Joondalup lies in the northeastern corner of the Joondalup council area, covering the suburbs of Burns Beach, Connolly, Currambine, Edgewater, Heathridge, Iluka, Joondalup and parts of Ocean Reef.
Redistribution
Joondalup shifted north, taking in Burns Beach and parts of Currambine from Burns Beach, and losing part of Ocean Reef to Hillarys.
History
Joondalup was first created in 1983. It was abolished in 1989 and restored in 1996. Apart from the 2008 election, the seat has always been won by the party winning the election statewide.
Jackie Watkins held the seat throughout the 1980s for the ALP. In 1989 she moved to the new seat of Wanneroo, and lost in 1993.
The Liberal Party’s Chris Baker won the restored seat of Joondalup in 1996. After one term, he lost in 2001 to Tony O’Gorman.
O’Gorman was re-elected twice, in 2005 and 2008. In 2008 he held the seat by a relatively marginal 4.3%, but suffered a minimal 0.8% swing while other Labor seats fell with bigger swings.
O’Gorman was defeated in 2013 by Liberal candidate Jan Norberger, with a swing of almost 8%. Norberger held the seat for just one term, losing in 2017 thanks to a swing of 11% to Labor’s Emily Hamilton.
Hamilton was re-elected easily in 2021.
Assessment
If Labor is in trouble in Joondalup, that indicates that the state election is on track to be close.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Emily Hamilton | Labor | 15,892 | 65.4 | +25.2 | 66.5 |
| Sheldon Ingham | Liberal | 4,756 | 19.6 | -24.2 | 19.2 |
| Angelo Watts | Greens | 1,102 | 4.5 | -4.0 | 4.6 |
| Shanthi Hildebrandt | Australian Christians | 537 | 2.2 | +0.5 | 2.3 |
| Ziggi Murphy | Independent | 484 | 2.0 | +2.0 | 1.7 |
| Bret Treasure | Legalise Cannabis | 465 | 1.9 | +1.9 | 1.6 |
| Howard Davey | No Mandatory Vaccination | 334 | 1.4 | +1.4 | 1.5 |
| Jules Rikkers | WAxit | 240 | 1.0 | +0.2 | 1.0 |
| Peter McLoughlin | Liberal Democrats | 286 | 1.2 | +1.2 | 0.9 |
| Peter Westcott | Western Australia Party | 203 | 0.8 | -0.3 | 0.7 |
| Informal | 948 | 3.8 |
2021 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Emily Hamilton | Labor | 18,150 | 74.7 | +24.7 | 75.4 |
| Sheldon Ingham | Liberal | 6,137 | 25.3 | -24.7 | 24.6 |
Polling places have been split into three parts: central, north and south.
Labor’s two-party-preferred vote ranged from 72.1% in the centre to 79% in the south.
| Voter group | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| North | 72.8 | 3,572 | 13.6 |
| Central | 72.1 | 3,552 | 13.5 |
| South | 79.0 | 2,643 | 10.1 |
| Pre-poll | 75.7 | 10,259 | 39.1 |
| Other votes | 76.9 | 6,195 | 23.6 |
Election results in Joondalup at the 2021 WA state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal Party and the Greens.
Per Preselection Updates, former Joondalup Liberal MP Jan Norberger is running for preselection in the federal seat of Pearce.
My prediction: Labor hold, with the Liberals recovering a fair amount of their vote, especially west of Marmion Avenue.