Pendulum – NZ 2014

The following table shows all New Zealand electorates to be contested at the 2014 general election, based on the margin between the first and second-placed parties in the 2011 candidate vote.

National SeatsLabour Seats
SeatMarginSeatMargin
Christchurch Central NAT 1.33% vs LAB Wigram LAB 4.46% vs NAT
Port Hills NAT 2.50% vs LAB Mana LAB 6.64% vs NAT
Waimakariri NAT 3.02% vs LAB West Coast-Tasman LAB 7.66% vs NAT
Maungakiekie NAT 5.74% vs LAB Te Atatū LAB 8.27% vs NAT
Auckland Central NAT 10.60% vs LAB Te Tai Tonga LAB 8.83% vs MAORI
Napier NAT 11.81% vs LAB Dunedin North LAB 9.12% vs NAT
Hamilton West NAT 13.97% vs LAB Hutt South LAB 9.91% vs NAT
Ōtaki NAT 14.02% vs LAB Palmerston North LAB 10.2% vs NAT
New Plymouth NAT 14.44% vs LAB Mount Roskill LAB 10.59% vs NAT
East Coast NAT 16.65% vs LAB Dunedin South LAB 12.12% vs NAT
Whanganui NAT 16.93% vs LAB Rimutaka LAB 15.07% vs NAT
Rangitata NAT 17.09% vs LAB Wellington Central LAB 17.40% vs NAT
Invercargill NAT 19.79% vs LAB Christchurch East LAB 18.82% vs NAT
Nelson NAT 20.51% vs LAB New Lynn LAB 22.58% vs NAT
Wairarapa NAT 21.01% vs LAB Mount Albert LAB 24.10% vs NAT
Hamilton East NAT 24.37% vs LAB Rongotai LAB 25.14% vs NAT
Northcote NAT 29.00% vs LAB Kelston LAB 25.31% vs NAT
Rotorua NAT 29.06% vs LAB Hauraki-Waikato LAB 35.53% vs MANA
Tukituki NAT 29.12% vs LAB Manurewa LAB 36.41% vs NAT
Rangitīkei NAT 29.55% vs LAB Ikaroa-Rāwhiti LAB 37.61% vs MAORI
Upper Harbour NAT 30.01% vs LAB Manukau East LAB 63.03% vs NAT
Rodney NAT 31.01% vs CON Māngere LAB 63.30% vs NAT
Papakura NAT 31.59% vs LAB
Kaikōura NAT 34.54% vs LAB
Northland NAT 35.95% vs LAB
Whangarei NAT 36.74% vs LAB
Waitaki NAT 37.34% vs LAB
Botany NAT 37.81% vs LAB
Coromandel NAT 37.86% vs LAB
Ilam NAT 40.07% vs LAB
North Shore NAT 41.87% vs LAB
Taupō NAT 42.92% vs LAB
Pakuranga NAT 44.06% vs LAB
Helensville NAT 45.97% vs LAB
Waikato NAT 47.23% vs LAB
Tauranga NAT 48.56% vs LAB
Bay of Plenty NAT 49.69% vs LAB
Tāmaki NAT 50.33% vs LAB ŌhariuUNF 0.29% vs LAB
Taranaki-King Country NAT 50.82% vs LAB Tāmaki MakaurauMAORI 5.31% vs LAB
Hunua NAT 50.86% vs LAB Te Tai TokerauMANA 6.21% vs LAB
Clutha-Southland NAT 52.06% vs LAB EpsomACT 6.68% vs NAT
East Coast Bays NAT 52.49% vs LAB WaiarikiMAORI 10.59% vs MANA
Selwyn NAT 55.77% vs LAB Te Tai HauāuruMAORI 18.45% vs LAB