Burwood – Victoria 2018

LIB 3.2%

Incumbent MP
Graham Watt, since 2010.

Geography
Eastern Melbourne. Burwood covers the suburbs of Ashburton, Ashwood, Burwood and Box Hill South and parts of the suburbs of Camberwell, Chadstone, Glen Iris and Surrey Hills. Burwood covers parts of the cities of Boroondara, Monash and Whitehorse.

History
The first electoral district of Burwood was created in 1955. It was held by Liberal MP Jim MacDonald until it was abolished in 1967, when he moved to the recreated seat of Glen Iris, which he held until his retirement in 1976.

The seat of Burwood was restored in 1976, and was won by Jeff Kennett, also of the Liberal Party. Kennett was appointed a minister in 1981, and was elected leader of the Liberal Party after they lost the 1982 state election.

Kennett led the party into the 1985 and 1988 elections, but after losing two elections he was replaced in 1989 by Alan Brown. He returned to the leadership unopposed in 1991 after poor performance by Brown.

Kennett won the 1992 election, and served as Premier for two terms. He won re-election in 1996, but in a shock result in 1999, Kennett lost his majority in the Legislative Assembly, and lost government when independent MPs supported the ALP.

Jeff Kennett resigned as Member for Burwood shortly afterwards, and in the following by-election, ALP candidate Bob Stensholt won the seat with a 10.4% swing. Stensholt increased his margin at the 2002 election, and was re-elected again in 2006.

In 2010, Labor MP Bob Stensholt lost to Liberal candidate Graham Watt, who won with a 9.6% swing.

Candidates

Assessment
Burwood is a very marginal seat and would be a high-ranking target for Labor.

2014 result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
Graham Watt Liberal 18,90250.1-0.1
Gavin Ryan Labor 12,99534.4+1.5
Beck Stuart Greens 4,90413.0+1.1
Peter CampbellIndependent9602.5+2.5
Informal1,3573.5

2014 two-party-preferred result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
Graham Watt Liberal 20,07953.2-3.1
Gavin Ryan Labor 17,68846.8+3.1

Booth breakdown

Booths in Burwood have been divided into three areas: North-East, North-West and South.

The Liberal Party won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in two areas, polling 52.2% in the south and 55.5% in the north-west. Labor polled 50.3% in the north-east.

The Greens primary vote was similar across the seat, ranging from 12.6% to 12.9%.

Voter groupGRN prim %LIB 2PP %Total votes% of votes
South12.652.29,86526.1
North-West12.955.57,22419.1
North-East12.649.85,78715.3
Other votes14.453.47,88220.9
Pre-poll12.454.77,00318.5

Election results in Burwood at the 2014 Victorian state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and Greens primary votes.

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Ben Raue is the founder and author of the Tally Room.If you like this post, please consider donating to support the Tally Room.