Willoughby – NSW 2019

LIB 24.5% vs GRN

Incumbent MP
Gladys Berejiklian, since 2003.

Geography
Lower North Shore of Sydney. The seat covers most of the City of Willoughby and small parts of North Sydney local government area. The seat covers the suburbs of Chatswood, Willoughby, Middle Cove, Northbridge, Naremburn, Crows Nest and Cammeray.

History
The seat of Willoughby was first created in 1894. It was abolished for three elections in the 1920s and again for the 1988 election, but has existed at every other election. The seat has been dominated by the Liberal Party and its predecessors.

The seat was won in 1927 by Edward Sanders, an independent Nationalist. He joined the Nationalist Party and then the United Australia Party, and held the seat until his death in 1943.

The 1943 by-election was won by George Brain. He held the seat until his retirement in 1968.

Laurie McGinty won Willoughby for the Liberal Party in 1968. He served as a minister from 1973 to 1976. McGinty was defeated for preselection in 1978 by Nick Greiner. McGinty ran as an independent, and directed preferences to the ALP. The seat was won by Labor candidate Eddie Britt.

Britt was defeated in 1981 by the Liberal Party’s Peter Collins. He was re-elected in 1984. In 1988, Willoughby was renamed “Middle Harbour”, and Collins won the renamed seat. He became a minister following the 1988 election, moving up in the ranks to become Treasurer in 1993. In 1991, Middle Harbour was renamed Willoughby again.

When the Coalition lost power in 1995, Collins was elected Leader of the Opposition. He did not lead his party to an election, being replaced by Kerry Chikarovski in December 1998. He was re-elected to Willoughby in 1999 and retired in 2003.

Willoughby was won in 2003 by Gladys Berejiklian. She defeated independent Willoughby mayor Pat Reilly by only 144 votes. She was re-elected in 2007, 2011 and 2015.

Berejiklian became Transport Minister when the Coalition took power in 2011. She became deputy Liberal leader in 2014, and Treasurer in 2015.

Berejiklian became Premier and Liberal leader in January 2017.

Candidates
No information.

Assessment
Willoughby is a very safe Liberal seat.

2015 result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
Gladys Berejiklian Liberal 30,06663.6-5.4
Alison Haines Greens 7,51115.9-0.9
Peter Cavanagh Labor 7,50715.9+3.8
Edward ReCyclists8451.8+1.8
Melody HoChristian Democrats7191.5-0.7
Aldo Di SantoNo Land Tax6621.4+1.4
Informal1,1862.4

2015 two-candidate-preferred result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
Gladys Berejiklian Liberal 31,23474.4-3.2
Alison Haines Greens 10,73925.6+3.2

2015 two-party-preferred result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
Gladys Berejiklian Liberal 31,48173.8-6.6
Peter Cavanagh Labor 11,16326.2+6.6

Booth breakdown

Booths in Willoughby have been split into three parts: north-east, south-east and west.

The Liberal Party won a majority of the two-candidate-preferred vote (against the Greens) in all three areas, ranging from 71.7% in the west to 76.5% in the north-east.

Labor came third, with a primary vote ranging from 13.3% in the north-east to 18.1% in the west.

Voter groupALP prim %LIB 2CP %Total votes% of votes
South-East13.673.913,75029.1
West18.171.79,06719.2
North-East13.376.59,05119.1
Other votes17.674.211,25123.8
Pre-poll19.477.94,1918.9

Election results in Willoughby at the 2015 NSW state election
Toggle between two-candidate-preferred (Liberal vs Greens) votes and Labor primary votes.

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