Enfield by-election, 2019

Cause of by-election
Former Labor minister John Raue resigned from Enfield in December 2018.

MarginALP 7.9%

Geography
Northern Adelaide. Enfield covers suburbs immediately to the north of the Adelaide city centre, including the suburbs of Blair Athol, Broadview, Clearview, Enfield, Kilburn, Northgate, Sefton Park, Woodville Gardens and parts of Nailsworth.

History

The electorate of Enfield has existed since 2002, when it replaced the electorate of Ross Smith.

Ralph Clarke held Ross Smith for the ALP from 1993 until 2002, and rose to the position of deputy leader of the ALP in South Australia.

In 2002, Clarke was challenged for preselection by John Rau, who won the preselection with state executive support.

Rau won re-election four times, in 2006, 2010, 2014 and 2018.

Rau served as Deputy Premier from February 2011 until Labor’s defeat at the 2018 state election. He retired from parliament in late 2018.

Candidates

  • Gary Johanson (Independent)
  • Sebastian Konyn (Greens)
  • Andrea Michaels (Labor)
  • Saru Rana (Independent)
  • Amrik Singh Thandi (Independent)

Assessment
Labor should easily retain this seat.

2018 election result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
John Rau Labor 8,88240.9-5.1
Deepa Mathew Liberal 5,76126.6-10.5
Carol MartinSA-Best4,00418.5+18.5
Cassie Alvey Greens 1,8028.3-0.0
Steve EdmondsConservatives7183.3-2.9
Emma CresdeeDignity5262.4+2.1
Informal1,0174.5

2018 two-party-preferred result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
John Rau Labor 12,55457.9+2.3
Deepa Mathew Liberal 9,13942.1-2.3

Booth breakdown

Booths in Enfield have been divided into three parts: north-east, north-west and the south.

Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 54.8% in the north-east to 64.7% in the north-west.

Voter groupSAB prim %ALP 2PP %Total votes% of votes
North-West18.264.76,57730.3
North-East17.854.83,94118.2
South18.355.76,01127.7
Other votes19.454.15,16423.8

Election results in Enfield at the 2018 SA state election
Click on the ‘visible layers’ box to toggle between two-party-preferred votes and SA-Best primary votes.

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3 COMMENTS

  1. Two of the independents have Lib history – Johanson (former mayor of Port Adelaide -Enfield – a giant local council that now covers the area) and Saru Rana is a moderate Lib activist, with a good background in domestic violence activism. Johanson’s strength is probably further west in the Port area, and Rana unlikely to have any funds, but if there was an upset (and if they, or their voters, cross-preference) this could be higher for Labor than they’d expect. The seat hasn’t been taken seriously by the Libs since 1993, when it looked like the Lib (a young lawyer) might knock off the former Premier, Bannon, who’d presided over the state bank disaster, and has areas that have either gentrified or always been moderately well-to-do in its south and east.

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