Walter Taylor – Brisbane 2016

Council margin – LNP 20.9% vs GRN
Mayoral margin – LNP 25.7%

Incumbent councillor
Julian Simmonds, since 2010.

Geography
Western Brisbane. Walter Taylor covers suburbs on the northern shore of the Brisbane River to the west of the Brisbane city centre, including Indooroopilly, St Lucia, Fig Tree Pocket and Taringa.

Map of Walter Taylor's 2012 and 2016 boundaries. 2012 boundaries marked as red lines, 2016 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.
Map of Walter Taylor’s 2012 and 2016 boundaries. 2012 boundaries marked as red lines, 2016 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.

Redistribution
Walter Taylor shifted slightly north-east, losing a small area near Kenmore and gaining most of the suburb of Toowong from the Toowong ward (subsequently renamed Paddington). These changes cut the LNP’s council margin against the Greens from 21.9% to 20.9%, and the LNP mayoral margin against the ALP from 27.1% to 25.7%.

History
Walter Taylor ward is a traditional safe Liberal ward, and was won in 2000 by Liberal candidate Jane Prentice.

Prentice was re-elected in 2004 and 2008, building her margin up to 18.9% in 2004 and 21% in 2008.

In 2010, Prentice resigned to run for the federal seat of Ryan, which she won. She has since been re-elected in 2013 and now serves as an Assistant Minister in the Turnbull government.

The 2010 by-election was won by LNP candidate Julian Simmonds. In 2012, he was re-elected with a 21.9% margin over the Greens, who outpolled Labor. Simmons currently serves as Chairman of the Finance, Economic Development and Administration Committee.

Candidates

Assessment
Walter Taylor has a long history as a safe Liberal ward. There are other Liberal National wards on large double-digit margins which got there through large swings at the 2008 and 2012 elections, but the Liberal National vote has been reasonably steady in Walter Taylor over the last decade.

2012 council result

CandidatePartyVotes%SwingRedist
Julian Simmonds Liberal National 12,49765.5+1.963.4
Tim Dangerfield Greens 3,81320.0+4.820.2
Adam Atkins Labor 2,76914.5-6.716.4
Informal3101.6

2012 council two-candidate-preferred result

CandidatePartyVotes%SwingRedist
Julian Simmonds Liberal National 12,71971.970.9
Tim Dangerfield Greens 4,96428.129.1
Exhausted1,066

2012 mayoral result

CandidatePartyVotes%SwingRedist
Graham Quirk Liberal National 12,90967.7+1.366.1
Andrew Bartlett Greens 3,13916.5+4.217.1
Ray Smith Labor 2,73614.3-4.915.3
Rory KillenIndependent1730.9+0.90.9
Chris CarsonIndependent1190.6+0.60.6
Informal3051.6

2012 mayoral two-party-preferred result

CandidatePartyVotes%SwingRedist
Graham Quirk Liberal National 13,32477.1+2.475.7
Ray Smith Labor 3,95522.9-2.424.3
Exhausted1,797
Polling places in Walter Taylor at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election. Central in green, East in blue, West in orange. Click to enlarge.
Polling places in Walter Taylor at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election. Central in green, East in blue, West in orange. Click to enlarge.

Booth breakdown
Booths in Walter Taylor have been split into three parts: east, west and central.

The Liberal National Party’s council primary vote ranged from 59% in the east to 71.5% in the west. The Greens came second in all three parts, ranging from 17% in the west to 21.5% in the east. Labor’s vote was lower, ranging from 11.7% in the west to 19.5% in the east.

Voter groupLNP councilALP councilGRN councilTotal votes% of votes
East59.019.521.57,28831.1
Central65.014.620.45,57723.8
West71.511.716.84,29918.3
Other votes61.617.520.96,26826.7
Liberal National primary votes for councillor in Walter Taylor at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election.
Liberal National primary votes for councillor in Walter Taylor at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election.
Greens primary votes for councillor in Walter Taylor at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election.
Greens primary votes for councillor in Walter Taylor at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election.
Labor primary votes for councillor in Walter Taylor at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election.
Labor primary votes for councillor in Walter Taylor at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election.

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