Marchant – Brisbane 2016

Council margin – LNP 16.6%
Mayoral margin – LNP 17.6%

Incumbent councillor
Fiona King, since 2008.

Geography
Northern Brisbane, Marchant covers the mid-northern suburbs of Chermside, Stafford and Gordon Park.

Map of Marchant's 2012 and 2016 boundaries. 2012 boundaries marked as red lines, 2016 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.
Map of Marchant’s 2012 and 2016 boundaries. 2012 boundaries marked as red lines, 2016 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.

Redistribution
Marchant underwent minor changes, with part of Aspley transferred to McDowall. These changes cut the LNP council margin from 16.9% to 16.6%, and the mayoral margin from 17.9% to 17.6%.

History
Labor’s Terry Hampson won Marchant in 1994. He was re-elected in 1997 and 2000.

In 2004, Hampson was succeeded by Labor candidate Faith Hopkins, who held the seat with a 3.8% margin, which was cut to 3% in the 2008 redistribution.

At the 2008 election, Liberal candidate Fiona King defeated Hopkins with an 11% swing. King was re-elected in 2012 with a further 8.9% swing.

Candidates

Assessment
Marchant is the kind of ward which had been held by Labor before losing control of council in 2008. The LNP has gained a cumulative swing of about 20% over the last two elections. This suggests that there is capacity for the LNP to lose a lot of support, but a 16.6% margin is still very sizeable, and may not be possible to overcome in one campaign.

2012 council result

CandidatePartyVotes%SwingRedist
Fiona King Liberal National 13,588 61.8 +7.7 61.4
Blair Thompson Labor 6,144 27.9 -9.5 28.2
Neil Martin Greens 2,262 10.3 +1.8 10.4
Informal 452 2.0

2012 council two-party-preferred result

CandidatePartyVotes%SwingRedist
Fiona King Liberal National 13,84666.9+8.966.6
Blair Thompson Labor 6,85333.1-8.933.4
Exhausted1,256

2012 mayoral result

CandidatePartyVotes%SwingRedist
Graham Quirk Liberal National 13,554 61.6 +0.7 61.2
Ray Smith Labor 5,754 26.2 -3.5 26.4
Andrew Bartlett Greens 2,207 10.0 +3.4 10.1
Rory Killen Independent 282 1.3 +1.3 1.3
Chris Carson Independent 195 0.9 +0.9 0.9
Informal 459 2.0

2012 mayoral two-party-preferred result

CandidatePartyVotes%SwingRedist
Graham Quirk Liberal National 13,85867.9+1.767.6
Ray Smith Labor 6,54332.1-1.732.4
Exhausted1,591
Polling places in Marchant at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election. Central in green, North in blue, South in orange. Click to enlarge.
Polling places in Marchant at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election. Central in green, North in blue, South in orange. Click to enlarge.

Booth breakdown
Booths in Coorparoo have been split into three parts: central, north and south.

The LNP’s two-party-preferred vote ranged from 68.6% in the north to 64.7% in the south.

The Greens polled between 8% and 9% in the centre and north, and 11.3% in the south.

Voter groupGRN council primaryLNP council 2PPTotal votes% of votes
South11.364.76,18629.4
Central8.866.64,93023.4
North8.568.63,20815.3
Other votes11.667.46,70131.9
Two-party-preferred votes for councillor in Marchant at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election.
Two-party-preferred votes for councillor in Marchant at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election.
Greens primary votes for councillor in Marchant at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election.
Greens primary votes for councillor in Marchant at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election.

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