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The Greens vote seems to fall off a cliff in the north western part of the electorate, as long as that holds for Labor they should be able to hold.
@ SpaceFish
This electorate has an East-West side rather than North-South. Pascoe Vale/Oak Park are more Oakleigh/Huntingdale etc middle class suburban areas. A lot of nuclear familes and Pragmatic voters. There is a decent Liberal vote. These areas saved Khalil in wills
*East/West divide
I think Pascoe Vale, Preston and Northcote will all remain with Labor this time. Of the 4 seats the Greens came close in last time, Footscray is the only one that I think they might pick up.