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The Liberals do so poorly here that they only come in third place in 5/16 booths which is insane. This is the only seat that the Greens hold that I’m confident that they won’t lose in 2026.
I think it’s in the libs interest to preference the greens in vic. They arent as radical as their federal counterparts who have now been wiped out. And it forces Labor to spend resources fighting these seats
@ John
It certainly forces Liberals to spend resouces but it gets the Liberal membership/Media base angry and especially as Israel is the only issue that unites the Liberals that has to be taken into consideration. If Battin preferences Greens i reckon chairs will be thrown at the next Liberal conference.
Green hold, maybe not at the next election but I could see the Liberals falling to fourth place in the Primary vote in this seat in future elections.
@John – considering there were active campaigns to even try get Labor to change their mind about preferencing the Greens (which worked in one federal seat in Victoria), I think there will be a lot more anger than usual if the Liberals repeated their 2022 preferences
I agree. The Liberals are in a tricky situation. It’s clearly to their political advantage to preference the Greens ahead of Labor and reduce Labor’s seat count as much as possible; but they would absolutely look like hypocrites in doing so after they spent so much of 2025 on their high horse attacking Labor for preferencing the “extremist” Greens.
The other factor: Advance, whose sole purpose now seems to be to try to wipe the Greens off the map. I can’t imagine the Liberals preferencing the Greens would go down well with Advance.
At the same time though, they are advocating for a change of government more than anything else. Perhaps to avoid picking a side they will just preference against incumbents to maximum disruption.
The other tack the Liberals could use is for them to preference against the incumbent. Can’t be seen to be advantaging one or the other and diverts resources to ALP vs Greens fights.
From a federal point of view it made total sense for the Liberals to preference against the Greens – at state level the arguments are not as strong as the issues are not as polarising. The Greens at state level have exactly the same problem as the Liberals – lack of cut through. I think I follow politics pretty closely but the only policy position of the Victorian Greens that comes instantly to mind is the public housing towers – otherwise nothing.