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This seat like many others in Northern Adelaide will be an afterthought as a guaranteed Labor hold with a margin likely to reach or exceed 30% (similar to Labor strongholds in WA following the 2021 wipeout election).
Incumbent MP Nick Champion is one of the few ex Federal MPs from mainland states who have decided to move into state Parliament (although this trend has increased in recent years, with others including Janelle Saffin from NSW, Yvette D’Ath in Queensland and Alannah Mactiernan in WA).
got something against tassie?
Not really John, in fact Ben mentioned in one post that Tasmania is unusual in that it is more likely that ex Federal MPs will switch to run for state Parliament compared to the other mainland states. This was highlighted with three ex Federal MP’s (Bridget Archer, Gavin Pearce and Brian Mitchell) all winning spots in the most recent Tasmanian election.
all 3 in different circumstances. Archer was defeated, Pearce retired of his own volition and Mitchell was forced out to make way for Rebecca White