Goulburn – NSW 2027

LIB 1.3%

Incumbent MP
Wendy Tuckerman, since 2019.

Geography
Southern NSW. The electorate covers the towns of Goulburn, Yass, Boorowa, Crookwell and Moss Vale. The seat covers the entirety of the Goulburn Mulwaree, Yass Valley and Upper Lachlan council areas, and south-western parts of Wingecarribee Shire.

History
An electoral district named Goulburn existed continuously from 1859 until 1991. It was restored in 2007. The ALP dominated the seat from 1925 to 1965, and was held by the Country/National Party from 1965 until 1991. It is now a Liberal seat.

When proportional representation was introduced in NSW in 1920, Goulburn was expanded to cover Nowra, Yass, Bega, Eden, Queanbeyan and Cooma and elected three members. The district elected one Nationalist, one Progressive and one Labor in 1920 and 1922, but in 1925, elected two Labor and one Nationalist.

When Goulburn once again became a single-member district in 1927, it was won by the ALP’s Jack Tully, who had held one of Goulburn’s seats since 1925.

Jack Tully held the seat for the next two decades, with the exception of one term. In 1932 he lost to Peter Loughlin of the United Australia Party, then won it back in 1935. He then held his seat until his retirement in 1946.

The 1946 Goulburn by-election was won by Tully’s son, Laurie Tully. The younger Tully held the seat until his retirement in 1965.

In 1965, Goulburn was won by Mulwaree Shire president Ron Brewer, running for the Country Party. He resigned from the seat in 1974 to contest the federal seat of Eden-Monaro. After losing the federal race, he won back his state seat at the following by-election. He held the seat until his retirement in 1984.

The National Party’s Robert Webster won Goulburn in 1984. He was re-elected in 1988. By the 1988 election, Goulburn had shifted west so that it stretched out to the north and west of Goulburn, covering much of Lachlan Shire and the town of Cowra. Webster became a minister in the Liberal-National coalition government in 1989.

In 1991, the seat of Goulburn was abolished, and the neighbouring Liberal seat of Southern Highlands took over the town of Goulburn, while the rest of the seat shifted into Burrinjuck, which was then a Liberal seat. Webster shifted to the Legislative Council, where he remained until his retirement in 1995. He served as a minister until his retirement from politics.

The town of Goulburn was now included in the seat of Southern Highlands, which was held by senior minister John Fahey. He became Premier in 1992 when Nick Greiner resigned. Fahey lost power in 1995, and in 1996 he resigned from Southern Highlands to contest the federal seat of Macarthur, which he won. He went on to hold Macarthur until his retirement in 2001, and served as Finance Minister in the Howard government.

Fahey was succeeded in Southern Highlands in 1996 by Liberal candidate Peta Seaton. Seaton held the seat until her retirement in 2007.

The 1999 redistribution shifted Southern Highlands deeper into the Wollondilly area, while the town of Goulburn shifted into the neighbouring seat of Burrinjuck. Burrinjuck had been held by Liberal MP Alby Schultz from 1988 until 1998, when he left the seat to win the federal seat of Hume. His state seat was won by National Party candidate Katrina Hodgkinson. Hodgkinson held Burrinjuck until it was renamed Cootamundra in 2015, and retired in 2017.

At the 2007 election, the seat of Southern Highlands was abolished. The northern part of the seat was added to the new seat of Wollondilly, while the Southern Highlands itself was combined with the town of Goulburn in the restored seat of Goulburn.

In 2007, the seat was won by former federal Sex Discrimination Commissioner Pru Goward. She saw off a challenge from Goulburn Mulwaree mayor Paul Stephenson.

Pru Goward was re-elected in 2011 and 2015, and served as a minister from 2011, until she retired from parliament in 2019.

Liberal candidate Wendy Tuckerman won Goulburn in 2019, and she was re-elected in 2023.

Candidates
No information.

Assessment
This section will be filled in closer to the election.

2023 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Wendy Tuckerman Liberal 20,737 40.8 +2.1
Michael Pilbrow Labor 18,028 35.5 +5.2
Andrew Wood Shooters, Fishers & Farmers 6,891 13.6 +4.3
Gregory John Olsen Greens 3,587 7.1 -1.2
Margaret Logan Sustainable Australia 1,532 3.0 +3.0
Informal 1,553 3.0

2023 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Wendy Tuckerman Liberal 23,185 51.3 -1.8
Michael Pilbrow Labor 22,015 48.7 +1.8

Booth breakdown

Booths in Goulburn have been split into four areas, based on local government boundaries. Polling places in Goulburn Mulwaree, Yass Valley and Wingecarribee council areas respectively have been grouped as Goulburn, Yass Valley and Southern Highlands. Polling places in the Upper Lachlan council areas have been grouped as ‘north-west’.

The Liberal Party won over 60% of the two-party-preferred vote in the north-west, and comfortably won the pre-poll and other votes. The ALP won a majority in the other three areas, ranging from 50.9% in Goulburn to 55.3% in Yass Valley.

The Shooters, Fishers and Farmers came third, with a primary vote of just over 10% in the Southern Highlands and Yass Valley, and almost 18% in Goulburn and the north-west.

Voter group SFF prim % LIB 2PP % Total votes % of votes
Goulburn 17.9 49.1 9,862 19.4
Southern Highlands 10.1 47.2 8,215 16.2
Yass Valley 10.3 44.7 5,387 10.6
North-West 17.8 61.3 2,734 5.4
Pre-poll 13.0 53.1 16,350 32.2
Other votes 13.6 55.8 8,227 16.2

Election results in Goulburn at the 2023 NSW state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for the Liberal Party, Labor and the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers.

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2 COMMENTS

  1. Ben
    A very small point – in your map some booths such as Bundanoon are a different shade of red than others? Is there a reason?

  2. Yes, booths with a higher vote are marked darker. On 2CP/2PP maps, a booth that is both over 60% and above the median vote for the booths will be marked in a darker colour. On primary vote maps, I divide up the booths based on the median vote.

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