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Given the expected strong result for state Labor, this might be a good time for incumbent MP Leon Bignell to step down and pass the reins onto a successor.
This occurred for the WA seat of Albany, with long serving and popular MP Peter Watson stepping down in 2021 and Rebecca Stephens easily succeeding him.
Should Bignell run for re-election, he should win easily but could come under challenge by 2030 (where a more neutral environment would make it harder for Labor to win, either with him or a new candidate)
@yoh and then shed was easily defeated in march. This seat is probly easier to retain for labor then some seats
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11-27/labor-mp-leon-bignell-quits-politics/106074020 – Update for this seat with sitting MP and House Speaker Leon Bignell to retire at the upcoming state election.
Mawson is a potentially difficult seat to hold for Labor being a mixed urban-rural district. But if the new MP builds up some personal vote, then they should be able to retain the seat even under more neutral conditions for future elections.
1st time Labor…Bignell won very narrowly but second time the margin was 13%… the difference was he won Kangaroo Island a conservative stro g hold. This was due to his work during the bushfire there. There is a huge personal vote here in excess of 20%