LIB 3.0% vs IND
Incumbent MP
Sam Telfer, since 2022.
Geography
Flinders covers western parts of South Australia. The electorate covers the South Australian coastline from Franklin Harbour to the Western Australian border, covering the Eyre Peninsula and the Nullabor Plain. The largest town in the seat is Port Lincoln, as well as the towns of Ceduna, Cleve, Cummins, Elliston, Port Lincoln, Streaky Bay and Tumby Bay.
History
The electorate of Flinders has existed as a single-member electorate since 1938. In that time the seat has never been held by the ALP. For most of its history, Flinders has been held by the Liberal Party and its predecessor, apart from a period when it was held by the National Party.
The seat in 1938 was won by Edward Craigie, who had been an MP in the area for the Single Tax League since 1930.
Craigie lost in 1941 to the Liberal and Country League’s Rex Pearson. The seat was then held by the LCL continuously from 1941 to 1973.
The National Party’s Peter Blacker won the seat in 1973. He was the sole National MP in the South Australian parliament during his time in the seat. He held the seat until his defeat in 1993. The 1993 election saw the inclusion of Kangaroo Island in Flinders for the first time, before it was removed in 1997.
Liz Penfold defeated Blacker in 1993, winning the seat back for the Liberal Party. She held the seat until her retirement in 2010.
The Liberal Party’s Peter Treloar won the seat in 2010, and held the seat until his retirement in 2022.
- Dylan Cowley (Nationals)
- Brenton Hincks (One Nation)
- Thomas McNab (SA Best)
- Meghan Petherick (Independent)
- Sam Telfer (Liberal)
Assessment
The Liberal Party narrowly held on to this traditional safe seat in 2022 thanks to a challenge from an independent. The fate of this seat may depend on whether the Liberal Party faces a serious independent challenge again.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Sam Telfer | Liberal | 9,743 | 46.0 | -21.4 |
| Liz Habermann | Independent | 5,757 | 27.2 | +27.2 |
| Sarah Tynan | Labor | 2,943 | 13.9 | -4.0 |
| Kathryn Hardwick-Franco | Greens | 996 | 4.7 | -2.1 |
| Lillian Poynter | Nationals | 886 | 4.2 | +4.2 |
| Tracey Dalton | Family First | 860 | 4.1 | +4.1 |
| Informal | 698 | 3.2 |
2022 two-candidate-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Sam Telfer | Liberal | 11,224 | 53.0 | |
| Liz Habermann | Independent | 9,961 | 47.0 |
Booths have been divided into four parts. Polling places in Port Lincoln have been grouped together, and the remainder of the seat has been split into east, north and west.
The Liberal Party won the two-candidate-preferred vote in two areas, with 55% in the west and 64% in the east, as well as 54.8% of the other votes. Independent Liz Habermann won 54.8% in Port Lincoln and 52.3% in the north.
Labor came third, with a primary vote ranging from 9.9% in the east to 16.7% in Port Lincoln.
| Voter group | ALP prim | LIB 2CP | Total votes | % of votes |
| Port Lincoln | 16.7 | 45.2 | 5,053 | 23.9 |
| East | 9.9 | 64.0 | 3,255 | 15.4 |
| North | 14.0 | 47.7 | 2,903 | 13.7 |
| West | 11.3 | 55.0 | 2,520 | 11.9 |
| Other votes | 14.5 | 54.8 | 7,454 | 35.2 |
Election results in Flinders at the 2022 South Australian state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for the Liberal Party, independent candidate Liz Habermann and Labor.
Is Liz Habermann running here again?