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Two very different seats in one, judging by the voting map. Big population growth coming to the south of the electorate in the next few years, so while I doubt it will fall to Labor this time around, whichever electorate contains Caboolture West in a few years time will be a potential Labor gain.
Yes, Glass House is slightly below average in enrolments whilst most of its nighbours are well above average, especially Caloundra.
At this rate, there are at least two possibilities at the next redistribution – parts of Beerwah and Landsborough could leave Caloundra; parts of Cabouolture West leave Morayfield. Both possibilities will reduce the LNP’s margin.
There’s also the possibility of shifting north or west and gaining LNP territory.