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I have this seat as too close to call. I think Don Brown has had a bumpy ride this term, making a number of questionable calls and seems to pick fights with everyone and anyone who’s not a rusted on Labor supporter. It’s only a seat the LNP wins when everything is going right for them, but on just under 10%, it’s not out of the question they pull off a surprise win.
One to watch!
I think this is an LNP gain. With the media’s continual attacks on Don Brown, as well as the crime in the electorate (including the fatal crash in Alex Hills).
I’d say a tossup, but it could be the safest Labor seat to flip. Don Brown has been in hot water this term. No LNP candidate yet.