ALP 14.4%
Incumbent MP
Leeanne Enoch, since 2015.
Geography
South-East Queensland. Algester covers southern parts of the City of Brisbane and parts of Logan City. Algester covers the suburbs of Algester, Parkinson, Forestdale, Hillcrest, Browns Plains, Calamvale, Acacia Ridge and Archerfield.
History
The seat of Algester has existed since 2001, when it replaced the former seat of Archerfield, which had existed since 1972. Labor has won both of these seats at every election since 1972, except for 2012.
Karen Struthers won Archerfield in 1998, following on after the retirement of Len Ardill. Struthers moved to the new seat of Algester in 2001, and was re-elected there in 2004, 2006 and 2009. Struthers served as a minister in the Bligh government from 2009 to 2012.
In 2012, Struthers was defeated by LNP candidate Anthony Shorten. Shorten held the seat for one term, losing in 2015 to Labor’s Leeanne Enoch. Enoch was re-elected in 2017.
Candidates
- Nerissa Aitken (Liberal National)
- Wayne Stacey (One Nation)
- Josie Mira (Greens)
- Leeanne Enoch (Labor)
Assessment
Algester is a safe Labor seat.
2017 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Leeanne Enoch | Labor | 14,424 | 51.9 | +0.3 |
| Clinton Pattison | Liberal National | 6,025 | 21.7 | -15.1 |
| Darryl Lanyon | One Nation | 5,055 | 18.2 | +18.2 |
| Patsy O’Brien | Greens | 2,277 | 8.2 | +1.2 |
| Informal | 1,537 | 5.2 |
2017 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Leeanne Enoch | Labor | 17,898 | 64.4 | +4.8 |
| Clinton Pattison | Liberal National | 9,883 | 35.6 | -4.8 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Algester have been divided into three areas: central, north and south.
Labor won a large majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 65% in the centre and south to 74% in the north.
One Nation came third, with a primary vote ranging from 14% in the centre to 24% in the south.
| Voter group | ON prim | ALP 2PP | Total votes | % of votes |
| Central | 14.1 | 64.8 | 9,725 | 35.0 |
| South | 24.2 | 65.1 | 4,906 | 17.7 |
| North | 17.8 | 73.7 | 2,974 | 10.7 |
| Pre-poll | 18.5 | 59.6 | 4,859 | 17.5 |
| Other votes | 20.0 | 62.3 | 5,317 | 19.1 |
Election results in Algester at the 2017 QLD state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and One Nation primary votes.
I originally posted a summary prediction on Poll-bludger but that got washed away with so many comments, so I’ll be putting a prediction of every seat here, although I’ll try not to spam too much.
Leanne has solidified the margin here since this seat, like many others, were lost to the LNP at the 2012, but has reverted to traditional safe labor seat. Although ONP had a high vote, I don’t see them being a threat like in neighbouring Jordan or Logan. I normally split this electorate into 4 polling areas – West (Forest Lake Booths, basically west of railway and north of motorway), South (Anything south of Logan Motorway), East (east of railway, north of motorway with booths of Algester, Calamvale and Stretton) and North (Acacia Ridge, Sunnybank Hills booths, ie anything above Learoyd Rd).
LNP is strongest East [Calamvale 24.91%] while ONP is strongest south [5 polling booths ranging from 20-28%].
The main contest here is to see who finishes second. According to my sources the LNP have chosen a candidate, among with other pre-selections last week, and should be revealed this week. That being said, the ONP candidate was chosen a while back and has made some good headway locally.
Prediction (August 2020): ALP Retain
September Prediction: Labor Retain. move on, nothing to see here. Will be called early.
University student Nerissa Aitken has been endorsed as the LNP candidate.
This is one seat where i can see a decent swing to Labor.
Prediction (September 2020): ALP Retain [no change]
Prediction: ALP Retain
Easy ALP retain, but I have to say the LNP candidate has done a decent job on.limited resources while not sounding like central casting. A very relatable candidate.
ALP retain