The Tally Room

Nominations will be declared at midday today for the Wentworth by-election. I'm going to drop by the ballot draw in Sydney and will update the candidate list on my seat guide in the early afternoon. As of this morning I'm aware of at least thirteen...

I've just finished a big project pulling together a bunch of election data, which is part of a new benefit for people who donate to support this website via Patreon. I've now got a complete set of booth-level vote data for every Queensland state election...

I'm joined by Ben Spies-Butcher and Amanda McCormack to discuss the Wagga Wagga by-election, the state of NSW politics six months before the state election, and the federal seat of Banks. We also discussed Ann Sudmalis' retirement announcement and Kerryn Phelps' candidacy announcement. Links to things...

Last night's result was extremely bad for the Liberal Party. We won't know who has won for sure for a few days or even a week, but it looks most likely that independent candidate Joe McGirr has won, and Labor probably has the next...

Primary votes Candidate Votes % Swing Seb McDonagh (SFF) 4456 10.0 10.0 Julia Ham (LIB) 11207 25.1 -28.5 Joe McGirr (IND) 11450 25.6 25.6 Ray Goodlass (GRN) 1285 2.9 -1.8 Tom Arentz (CDP) 853 1.9 -0.4 Paul Funnell (IND) 4834 10.8 0.9 Dan Hayes (ALP) 10642 23.8 -4.7 Two-party-preferred votes Candidate Votes % Swing Julia Ham (LIB) 11185 47.7 -14.8 Dan Hayes (ALP) 12270 52.3 14.8 Exhausted 6500 12:11 - Okay, not long ago we got the primary votes for the Wagga Wagga pre-poll centre. Following this point the NSWEC took down...

Ben is joined by Glenn Kefford from Macquarie University to discuss the new Liberal leadership, competition amongst right-wing minor parties and the Wagga Wagga by-election. Read Glenn Kefford and Shaun Ratcliff's analysis of nativist rhetoric at the Monkey Cage blog at the Washington Post. You can...

I was joined on Wednesday evening by Stewart Jackson and El Gibbs to discuss the Liberal leadership spill and the seat of Lindsay. Our discussion of the Liberal leadership spill focused on some of the broader issues but was conducted before the rumours of a...

With the federal election guide now complete, I decided to check in on which seats have been attracting the most comments. Comment sections are now open for all 159 federal contests, and some of these pages have been quite active. These are the seats with...

I'm joined this week by Jill Sheppard (@jillesheppard) and Osmond Chiu (@redrabbleroz) to discuss research into what candidate attributes influence voters' choices, and profile the marginal seat of Gilmore in southern NSW. Links to things discussed in this episode: Research into voter preferences from Jill Sheppard...