NSW 2019 – mapping the Shooters seats
The Shooters had a really good election result, but didn't do it thanks to a big sweeping vote across the state. At the moment they are on track for about one quota in the upper house. Yet thanks to the kinds of seats they...
NSW 2019 – the inner west moves apart
The inner west of Sydney has been a key battleground at NSW state elections since at least 2003, when the Greens first made a serious attempt to win the seats of Port Jackson and Marrickville. Yet something has changed this year, with the focus...
NSW 2019 – Is Labor’s problem with migrants, or the Georges River?
One of the defining moments of the New South Wales election campaign was Labor leader Michael Daley's recorded comments from 2018 about people in Sydney being squeezed out by Asia migrants.
At the time there was speculation about how this would affect the Labor vote...
NSW 2019 – what about the upper house count?
The Legislative Council count is going to take a long time, and we are missing a lot of vital information we will need.
The main reason for this is the Electoral Commission's decision to only count the votes of seven big groups on election night...
NSW 2019 – mapping the swings
This is the first of a number of blog posts I'll be rolling out over today and tomorrow.
I thought I'd start by attempting to map out the swings. This is a difficult task because quite a lot of votes (mostly pre-poll votes) haven't been...