NSW 2023 – the growing early vote and the election night vote gap
As my final blog post about the 2023 NSW state election, I wanted to look back at how people cast their votes in 2023 - what method they used to vote, and how the results differed between those methods. I also touch on the...
Proportionality of the NSW election result
Today's post is a follow-up to analysis I did of the recent federal and Victorian elections, looking at how the recent NSW election rates on measures of proportionality.
The federal and Victorian results hit new highs of disproportionality. While the NSW lower house result was...
NSW 2023 – how preferences decided the close races
When you look at the NSW election results at the state level, there are some general trends that dominate when it comes to preferences. Labor generally benefits from stronger preference flows than the Coalition, with the Greens being the dominant party providing those preferences....
NSW 2023 – how preferences flowed in the crossbench seats
In today's post I'm following up on a pre-election blog post where I looked at what preference flow data tells us about the underlying political trends in the crossbench seats, now with 2023 data.
I'm going to start with a chart looking at how primary...
NSW 2023 – upper house preference rates continue to climb
Last week I analysed the final distribution of preferences in the NSW upper house election and thought I had detected some evidence that people were marking more preferences, but at the time we didn't have the full dataset of preferences.
Now we do, and it's...
NSW 2023 – final two-party-preferred preference flows
The final preference datasets for the NSW state election were published yesterday. These datasets include the full preference data for every single ballot paper cast in both houses. New South Wales is the only state to publish this data for the lower house, although...
WA state redistribution – the starting numbers
The process of redistributing Western Australia's electoral boundaries has now commenced, with the first round of submissions closing next week.
Western Australia's 59 electorates will be redrawn over the next few months, with the draft boundaries due out in July.
The electorates in the Perth area...
The six-seat Senate dilemma
I've written before about the peculiar way that single transferable vote works differently with districts electing an odd number of representatives, as opposed to an even number.
You particularly notice it in local councils with 2-member or 4-member wards, but it is also an issue...
Podcast #93: NSW election wrap and expanding the federal parliament
Ben is joined by Stewart Jackson to wrap up the NSW state election, but to also discuss the news about a possible expansion of the federal parliament.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider...
Time for a bigger parliament
The Sydney Morning Herald yesterday ran a story about the potential for an expansion of the number of seats in the Australian parliament.
I think there's a strong case to make this change, and I made a submission to that effect to the current Joint...