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Think this one falls pretty easily if current trends continue.
Good chance for Labor to pick this even if the primary vote drops.
One Nation will split the right-wing vote. I wouldn’t be surprised if this becomes an ALP vs ONP contest, thanks to the swing from Liberals to One Nation. I also expect Labor to cop a primary vote swing but not as big. The Greens could get an uptick especially in Liverpool, Casula and Lurnea.