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This is one to watch. I think One Nation has a chance of gaining this.
Statewide polling shows One Nation getting a primary in the mid to high 20s. If this is replicated at the election, they’d get something in the 30s. A swing of over 20% to One Nation might make them first on primary votes. Thanks to OPV, voters of Labor and other parties don’t have to allocate anyone their preferences, let alone to the Liberals.