Senate preferences – how might they flow? Part 2
Following yesterday's post analysing the NSW, VIC and QLD Senate counts, here's my analysis of Western Australia, South Australia and an update of the...
Senate preferences – how might they flow? Part 1
Up until now, I've largely ignored preferences when working out who are the leading contenders for Senate seats. While the new system will likely...
Close seats – Tuesday morning update
Sorry there was no update yesterday - I only have limited time each day and I devoted it to my takedown of electronic voting...
Close seats – Sunday morning update
I didn't get a chance to do an update yesterday morning as I headed over to Moorebank to observe the NSW Senate count - I'll...
Close seats – Friday morning update
We've made some more progress yesterday, and I believe we can narrow this list from nine to seven seats today.
As a reminder, the first four...
Below the lines in Tasmania show potential for upset
The Senate data published on election night was very messy.
For a start, it didn't make any effort to distinguish above-the-line and below-the-line votes, instead...
Close seats – Thursday morning update
Quite a bit of counting took place yesterday.
Yesterday we narrowed the list of seats to watch from 17 to 12, and today I think...
Close seat update – here’s the model
We saw a small amount of counting yesterday, but we should be able to narrow the list of undecided seats.
When I last posted, I...
Pauline Hanson and the old Senate system
There's been a lot of arguments coming out suggesting that Pauline Hanson and the rest of her team are only contenders for seats thanks...
Looking forward in the close seats
I have a list of sixteen seats which I think are close enough to pay further attention over the next few days as more...