2025 Australian federal election

Welcome to the Tally Room’s guide to the next Australian federal election. This guide will include comprehensive coverage of each seat’s history, geography, political situation and results of the 2022 election, as well as maps and tables showing those results.

On this page you can find links to each individual profile for one third of all House of Representatives electorates, and the Senate contests in the six states and the two territories.

This guide is a work in progress. For now profiles have only been prepared for fifty electorates, as well as profiles for the eight Senate contests. Profiles for the 100 seats in New South Wales, Victoria and Western Australia will be produced once the redistribution concludes in 2024.

This election guide is a big project over many months. If you appreciate this work please consider signing up as a patron of this website via Patreon.

Most of this guide is currently only available to those who donate $5 or more per month via Patreon. I have unlocked two House profiles and one Senate profile for everyone to read – scroll to the end of this page to find the list of unlocked profiles.

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Table of contents:

  1. Local electorate profiles
  2. Senate profiles
  3. Free samples
  4. Contact

Local electorate profiles

Profiles have been produced for 50 out of 150 House of Representatives electorates: those in Queensland, South Australia, Tasmania, the Australian Capital Territory and the Northern Territory.

Profiles for electorates in New South Wales, Victoria and Western Australia will need to wait for the conclusions of redistributions in 2024.

You can use the following navigation to click through to each seat’s profile:

You can use the following map to click on any lower house seat, and then click through to the relevant guide where available.

Senate profiles

Profiles have been written for the Senate races in all six states and both territories.

Free samples

Most of this election guide is only available to people who chip in $5 or more per month via Patreon, but a small selection have been unlocked for free access:

Contact

If you have a correction or an update for a single electorate page, feel free to post a comment. You can also send an email by using this form.

If you’d like me to include a candidate name or website link in my election guide, please check out my candidate information policy.

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    519 COMMENTS

    1. @Scart 100% I agree we don’t need him specifically anymore. He was an alright PM:

      Also, @James, Malcolm Turnbull had a personal vote among Labor/Greens voters who would’ve now vote teal. Bondi is the tealest place in Sydney. Even on the state level it votes teal when everywhere else votes Liberal.

    2. state by state opinion poling has been released b newspoll showing a slightly better result for the coaltion in QLD, VIC, NSW and Sa although they went backwards in wa but are still better then the 2022 result

    3. Labor’s challenge is gaining seats. They’ve had a terrible first term and they’ve only got 78 seats (including Aston), and 75 (previously 76) are needed for a majority. They’ll obviously lose at least two in Perth (likely Bullwinkel and Tangney). The draft redistribution has abolished Higgins (a Labor seat) and while Labor’s gained Menzies, they’ve lost Bennelong to the Liberals. If the redistribution proposal is successful then technically Labor’s starting with just 75 seats (78 – Bullwinkel – Tangney – Higgins + Menzies – Bennelong = 75).

      Labor will do better in the inner suburbs while the Coalition will do better in the outer suburbs by campaigning on issues such as cost of living, crime, health, etc while Labor and the teals will attack Dutton in the well-off city suburbs since they’re more centrist or left-leaning. Those suburbs will mostly be in the southern and southeastern capital cities (Sydney, Melbourne, Canberra, Adelaide and Hobart) as opposed to in Brisbane, Perth and Darwin.

    4. Both Labor and Libs have opened preselection nominations for Reid.
      One to watch, given the potential match-up of candidates and the overinflated margin (as was the case on 2022)

    5. @NP they still need 76 for a majority as 75 is only half 150 and not a majority. anyone who believes labor can get a majority is kidding themselves. the best they can hope for is minority government. i predict labor will lose between 8-12 seats at very least. and its still possible in my opinion for the coalition to get to a majority even without the teals. but why would they want to? the senate would be gridlocked at best and hostile at worst. their best bet is to hurt labor enough to force them into minority and then pick apart the labor-greens-teal-independent government like they did last time and then they would more then likely win all of those teal seats back with the exception of wentworth which is too marginal because of the redistribution so i the short term theyre better off with spender there until an expansion of parliament happens

    6. Documents published by the Independent Parliamentary Expenses Authority (IPEA) this week revealed Dutton billed taxpayers $21,005 on September 25 for a flight from Brisbane to Moree, in northern NSW.
      The Liberal leader then charged taxpayers the same amount twice more as he flew on from Moree to Dubbo and Dubbo to Newcastle on September 26.
      This comes just weeks after he was called out for claiming $23,000 in travel expenses after booking a private jet from Canberra to Tamworth to speak at a News Corp event – and again, to criticise the cost of living crisis under Labor. hypocrisy much?

    7. I’ve made a map of electorates (2022 boundaries) by the number of comments on their Tally Room pages for the 2022 federal election. You can view it here: https://jmp.sh/FAvUgfyV

      The lightest blue is under 50 comments, while the darkest blue is over 300 comments, so the interval is 50 (0-50, 50-100, 100-150, 150-200, 200-250, 250-300). I used blue because it’s my favourite colour.

      Unsurprisingly, the most discussed seats were in the cities and the least discussed were in regional and rural areas. Only a handful of seats outside the capital cities had over 50 comments on their pages and only four had over 100 comments on their pages, three of which were in NSW (Gilmore, Hunter and Richmond), with the other one being Corangamite in Victoria.

      Also unsurprisingly, key seats and marginal seats were much more discussed than safe seats (as is evident by, for example, northwestern Sydney where Greenway and Lindsay each had over 50 comments on their pages while Chifley and Mitchell each had less than 50), though three exceptions to that rule are Cook, Grayndler and Melbourne, due to those seats being held by party leaders (Cook was Scomo’s seat, Grayndler is Albo’s seat and Melbourne is held by Greens leader Adam Bandt). Hughes is a marginal seat but I would say the reason it had so many comments was that combined with the fact that at the time Craig Kelly was the sitting MP and he was UAP leader from his defection from the Liberals in 2021 (barring the brief period he sat as an independent) until only recently (when he joined One Nation as their campaign director).

      The Liberal seats that were contested and won by teals a lot of attention, as did what is now Dai Le’s seat of Fowler and the three Brisbane seats that the Greens picked up in 2022 (Brisbane, Griffith and Ryan).

    8. Top 10 seats with the most common on their Tally Room comments:

      1. Higgins, VIC (338)
      2. Fowler, NSW (294)
      3. Kooyong, VIC (260)
      4. Macnamara, VIC (252)
      5. North Sydney, NSW (244)
      6. Richmond, NSW (236)
      7. Warringah, NSW (224)
      8. Griffith, QLD (212)
      9. Chisholm (197)
      10. Wills, VIC (191)

      Just realised I accidentally coloured Wentworth in the wrong colour.

    9. @john With regards to your previous comments on the Muslim Vote unseating “sitting” MPs, my two cents as a Banks voter: I would say David Coleman in Banks is going nowhere. He is very, very popular in this seat and the Muslim population of 6.3% here votes Labor anyway.
      Furthermore, the seat is gentrifying upwards towards strong Liberal territory, with previously working-class suburbs like Padstow, Revesby turning into increasingly pricey family-friendly suburbs where a brand new semi-detached can sell for $1.95 million etc.
      I would be very worried if I was Jason Clare, as Kristina Keneally should’ve been during 2022.

    10. @wombater i agree that with such a low % he will be safe as most probably vote labor anyway. The ones to watch would be watson blaxland werriwa and McMahon. Wataon because it has the highest %, blaxland a combination of the % and how much the redistribution has changed that division, werriwa because of the lowargin and the fact she’s regarded asone of the weaker mps and mcmahon because of the frank carbone factor

    11. @ Nether Portal
      Another good idea like the great maps you have been doing is to Do Top 10 seats for each religion a table may work rather than map if there is overlap. For example Hinduism is the main minority religion in New England it will not be in the Top 10 for Hinduism and i think it will be Gellibrand, Lalor or Greenway.

    12. Albo was in qld announcing candidates yesterday but denied speculation of an early election. Yea like were that stupid. There will be an election before the year is out

    13. If there is an election before December 31, I’ll eat some of the yellow cake needed for Dutton’s power stations.

    14. More maps and data coming soon!

      People sometimes ask me: what motives me to make all these maps? Well, other than gaming and sport, one of my other passions is turning on some rap and making some maps and sharing them.

    15. This is what I’ve been working on all day.

      I’ve listed every single booth at the 2022 federal election where the booth winner won more than 80% of the TPP vote. You can view it here as a CSV file: https://jmp.sh/9JGvBUTt

      The booth with the highest TPP was Nowendoc, a small rural town known for its snow in the Division of New England. The seat’s winner, former Nationals leader Barnaby Joyce, won a massive 96.1% TPP there. This is a huge amount!

      Hopefully I didn’t miss any and hopefully this is useful and interesting to people since this took five hours (with breaks of course).

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