Burns Beach – WA 2021

ALP 4.3%

Incumbent MP
Mark Folkard, since 2017.

Geography
Northern Perth. The seat covers the suburbs of Burns Beach, Iluka, Kinross, Tamala Park, and Clarkson, as well as parts of Joondalup and Mindarie.

Redistribution
Burns Beach shifted north, gaining Quinns Rocks from Butler and losing Iluka and the remainder of the suburb of Joondalup to Joondalup. These changes increased the Labor margin from 2.5% to 4.3%.

History
Burns Beach was created in 2017 as the successor to Ocean Reef, which was created for the 2008 election – one of a number of new seats created in Perth due to one vote one value legislation.

The seat was created with a notional Labor majority, but thanks to a 6% swing it was won in 2008 by Liberal candidate Albert Jacob. Jacob was re-elected in 2013.

Labor’s Mark Folkard defeated Jacob in 2017.

Candidates

Assessment
Burns Beach is a key marginal seat. If Labor lose here it would suggest they are struggling to hold on to power statewide.

2017 result

CandidatePartyVotes%SwingRedist
Mark Folkard Labor 10,06942.6+10.043.5
Albert Jacob Liberal 9,76841.4-15.738.9
Mark Cooper Greens 2,0608.7+1.38.9
Rudolph CrousAustralian Christians4762.00.02.1
Carl MaddoxMatheson for WA4712.0+2.01.7
Joy DrennanFamily First5042.1+1.31.5
Sandy Culum-BuzakMicro Business2661.1+1.11.2
2.2
Informal 1,3255.3

2017 two-party-preferred result

CandidatePartyVotes%SwingRedist
Mark Folkard Labor 12,40052.5+13.954.3
Albert Jacob Liberal 11,20747.5-13.945.7

Booth breakdown

Booths have been divided into three parts: central, north and south.

Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in the centre (56.5%) and the north (62.8%) while the Liberal Party won a narrow majority in the south.

Voter groupALP 2PP %Total votes% of votes
South49.87,08132.6
Central56.55,80826.7
North62.83,40915.7
Pre-poll52.72,0719.5
Other votes52.23,37315.5

Two-party-preferred votes in Burns Beach at the 2017 WA state election

1 COMMENT

  1. The next major redistribution around here will probably swap Burns Beach and Kinross for Merriwa and Ridgewood, using Tamala Park tip as the boundary – basically recreating Mindarie as the southern half of the old seat of that name. Three elections later, and now there’s a whole extra seat up there – it’s crazy how much this area has grown in a decade. So many sand dune suburbs.

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