Moncrieff – Election 2010

LIB 13.8%

Incumbent MP
Steven Ciobo, since 2001.

Geography
Moncrieff covers the central part of the Gold Coast, covering the coast from Miami to Paradise Waters and Southport, and as far inland as Nerang.

Redistribution
Inland parts of Moncrieff, including Worongary, Tallai, Gilston and Latimer, were transferred to the new seat of Wright.

History
Moncrieff was first created at the 1984 election, and has always been held by the Liberal Party.

The seat was first won in 1984 by Kathy Sullivan, who had been a Queensland senator since 1974. Sullivan held the seat until 2001, serving continuously in Parliament for 27 years, a record for any female parliamentarian. She served two brief terms in the Opposition shadow ministry in the 1980s and 1990s, and served as a Parliamentary Secretary in the Howard government from 1997 to 2000.

Sullivan was succeeded in 2001 by Steven Ciobo. Ciobo served on the backbenches for the remainder of the Howard government and the first two years of the Rudd government, joining Tony Abbott’s shadow ministry in December 2009.

Candidates

Political situation
Moncrieff is a very safe Liberal seat and should be easily retained in 2010.

2007 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Steven Ciobo LIB 48,594 59.77 -4.03
Sam Miszkowski ALP 24,397 30.01 +5.66
Carla Brandon GRN 5,048 6.21 +1.17
James Tayler FF 1,440 1.77 -1.26
Paul Stevenson DEM 731 0.90 -0.29
Paul Shears IND 562 0.69 +0.69
Tim Kirchler SA 315 0.39 +0.39
Elisabeth Thomson CEC 214 0.26 -0.62

2007 two-candidate-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Steven Ciobo LIB 52,042 64.01 -5.52
Sam Miszkowski ALP 29,259 35.99 +5.52

These results do not take into consideration the effects of the redistribution.

Booth breakdown
Booths in Moncrieff have been divided into three areas. Those along the coast as “East”, and those inland divided into “West” and  “Central”.

The Liberal Party wins majorities of over 60% in all parts of the seat, but wins the largest majorities along the coast and the smallest in the western part of the seat.

 

Polling booths in Moncrieff. East in yellow, Central in blue, West in green.
Voter group GRN % LIB 2CP % Total votes % of ordinary votes
East 6.55 67.10 22,991 36.78
Central 6.20 62.63 20,777 33.24
West 5.30 60.12 18,735 29.97
Other votes 6.75 64.33 18,338
Results of the 2007 federal election in Moncrieff.

5 COMMENTS

  1. Wright might even be a little stronger for the LNP than the estimates show depending on how they are apportioning votes from these booths along the border.

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