Pearce – Australia 2019

LIB 3.6%

Incumbent MP
Christian Porter, since 2013.

Geography
Regional areas to the north and east of Perth. Pearce covers the entirety of Beverley, Northam, Toodyay, York, Chittering and Gingin council areas, and parts of Swan and Wanneroo councils.

History
Pearce was created for the 1990 election, and in its short history it has always been held by the Liberal Party.

Pearce was first won in 1990 by Fred Chaney. Chaney had been a Liberal Senator since 1974, and had served as Leader of the Opposition in the Senate from 1984 until he left the Senate to take a seat in the House of Representatives. Chaney had also served as a minister in the Fraser government from 1978 to 1983. Chaney retired from Pearce in 1993.

Pearce was won in 1993 by Liberal candidate Judi Moylan. Moylan served as a junior minister in the first term of the Howard government, and then served as a backbencher until her retirement in 2013.

Pearce was won in 2013 by Liberal candidate Christian Porter, a former minister in the state government. Porter has served as Social Services Minister since 2015.

Candidates

  • Christian Porter (Liberal)
  • Kim Travers (Labor)

Assessment
Pearce is a reasonably marginal Liberal seat, following a large swing to Labor in 2016. Porter is a prominent MP, but shouldn’t take his seat for granted.

2016 result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
Christian Porter Liberal 39,55145.4-1.7
Thomas French Labor 29,80934.3+8.1
Lee-Anne Miles Greens 9,54311.0+1.1
Maddison Simmonds Nationals 4,0804.7+0.1
Taffy Samuriwo-VuntardeRise Up Australia4,0494.7+3.7
Informal4,1504.6

2016 two-party-preferred result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
Christian Porter Liberal 46,67253.6-5.7
Thomas French Labor 40,36046.4+5.7

Booth breakdown

Booths have been divided into four parts. Polling places closest to Perth, covering most of the seat’s population, have been split between the Swan and Wanneroo council areas, with the rest split into east and north.

The Liberal Party won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in every area, ranging from 50.1% in Wanneroo (a majority of 44 votes) to 63.6% in the north.

The Greens primary vote ranged from 8.3% in the north to 11.7% in Wanneroo.

Voter groupGRN prim %LIB 2PP %Total votes% of votes
Wanneroo11.750.129,38433.8
Swan10.052.220,02723.0
North8.363.66,0507.0
East10.058.55,9456.8
Other votes12.954.215,33417.6
Pre-poll10.057.010,29211.8

Election results in Pearce at the 2016 federal election
Click on the ‘visible layers’ box to toggle between two-party-preferred votes and Greens primary votes.


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Ben Raue is the founder and author of the Tally Room.If you like this post, please consider donating to support the Tally Room.