Hasluck – Australia 2019

LIB 2.1%

Incumbent MP
Ken Wyatt, since 2010.

Geography
Hasluck covers eastern parts of the Perth metropolitan area, stretching from Caversham and Middle Swan in the north, through suburbs including Midland, Guildford, Gooseberry Hill, Kalamunda, Forrestfield and Lesmurdie, down to Kenwick and Maddington in the south. The seat also stretches east along the Mundaring Shire parts of the Perth Hills to Wooroloo. The seat covers the entire Mundaring council area and parts of Gosnells, Kalamunda and Swan council areas.

History
Hasluck was created for the 2001 election. It had a notional ALP margin of 2.6% and was won for Labor by Sharryn Jackson, with a small notional swing to the Liberals. At the next three elections, the sitting MP was defeated at every election.

A 3.6% swing to the Liberals in 2004 saw Jackson defeated by Stuart Henry. Jackson returned to contest the seat again in 2007 and regained the seat from Henry on a 3.1% swing.

In 2010, the Liberal candidate Ken Wyatt won the seat off Jackson with a 1.4% swing. Wyatt was re-elected in 2013 and 2016.

Candidates
No information.

Assessment
Hasluck is a very marginal seat, and could be vulnerable at the next election.

2016 result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
Ken Wyatt Liberal 36,51944.9-1.2
Bill Leadbetter Labor 28,65235.3+5.8
Patrick Hyslop Greens 10,28312.7+2.4
Henry John BarnardRise Up Australia2,9993.7+3.3
Phil TwissAustralian Christians2,7983.4+1.2
Informal3,4254.0

2016 two-party-preferred result

CandidatePartyVotes%Swing
Ken Wyatt Liberal 42,29452.1-4.0
Bill Leadbetter Labor 38,95747.9+4.0

Booth breakdown

Booths have been divided into four parts. The western end of the electorate contains most of the population and this area has been split into central, north-west and south-west. These areas roughly (but not entirely) align with the Kalamunda, Swan and Gosnells council areas. Those booths in the Mundaring Hills have been grouped as “east”.

The Liberal Party won 55% of the two-party-preferred vote in the east and 59% in the centre. Labor won 53.7% in the north-west and 58% in the south-west.

The Greens vote ranged from 9% in the south-west to 17% in the east.

Voter groupGRN prim %LIB 2PP %Total votes% of votes
Central10.958.917,86022.0
North-West13.246.316,79020.7
East17.455.212,36915.2
South-West9.042.09,78712.0
Other votes13.652.914,11217.4
Pre-poll11.354.210,33312.7

Election results in Hasluck at the 2016 federal election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and Greens primary votes.


Become a Patron!

About the Author

Ben Raue is the founder and author of the Tally Room.If you like this post, please consider donating to support the Tally Room.