Fadden – Australia 2019

LNP 11.2%

Incumbent MP
Stuart Robert, since 2007.

Geography
Fadden covers northern parts of the Gold Coast. The seat stretches as far south as Ernest, Labrador and Biggera Waters, and extends north to the Logan River.

Redistribution
Fadden lost Molendinar to Moncrieff. This slightly increased the LNP margin.

History
Fadden was created for the 1977 election as a seat straddling the southern fringe of Brisbane and the northern Gold Coast as a marginal Liberal seat. It has been won by the Liberal Party or the LNP at every election bar one, and has become much safer through the 1990s as it contracted into the Gold Coast.

Fadden was first won in 1977 by Liberal MP Donald Cameron. Cameron had previously won the marginal seat of Griffith in 1966, and held it until Fadden’s creation in 1977. Cameron held Fadden for two terms, losing it in 1983 to Labor candidate David Beddall. Cameron won the neighbouring seat of Moreton at a by-election eight months later and held it until his defeat in 1990.

Beddall moved to the new seat of Rankin in 1984, which he held until his retirement in 1998. Fadden returned to the Liberal Party, electing David Jull, who had previously held Bowman from 1975 to 1983. Jull was appointed to John Howard’s first ministry in 1996, but was forced to resign as a minister in 1997 due to his failure to prevent travel rorts by other MPs. He remained  on the backbenches for the remainder of the Howard government, and retired in 2007.

The seat of Fadden was won in 2007 by Liberal candidate Stuart Robert, who has held the seat ever since.

Candidates
No information.

Assessment
Fadden is a safe LNP seat.

2016 result

CandidatePartyVotes%SwingRedist
Stuart Robert Liberal National 43,93849.1-4.549.4
Meaghan Scanlon Labor 23,36926.1+3.926.0
Brenden BallOne Nation10,69312.0+11.312.0
Daniel Kwon Greens 6,8717.7+2.77.6
Lyn ReesFamily First3,4503.9+2.23.8
Sean MacnamaraVeterans Party1,0831.2+1.21.2
Informal4,2434.5

2016 two-party-preferred result

CandidatePartyVotes%SwingRedist
Stuart Robert Liberal National 54,57861.0-3.361.2
Meaghan Scanlon Labor 34,82639.0+3.338.8

Booth breakdown

Booths have been divided into four areas: central, north, south and west.

The LNP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all four areas, ranging from 53.6% in the south to 61.9% in the centre.

The One Nation primary vote ranged from 10.9% in the centre and south to 15.5% in the north.

Voter groupON prim %LNP 2PP %Total votes% of votes
West12.459.718,23621.2
South10.953.610,90612.7
Central10.961.910,62412.3
North15.559.44,9745.8
Other votes12.261.213,60815.8
Pre-poll11.865.427,71532.2

Election results in Fadden at the 2016 federal election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and One Nation primary votes.

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Ben Raue is the founder and author of the Tally Room.If you like this post, please consider donating to support the Tally Room.