Bracken Ridge – Brisbane 2016

Council margin – LNP 21.8%
Mayoral margin – LNP 21.1%

Incumbent councillor
Amanda Cooper, since 2007.

Geography
Outer northern Brisbane. Bracken Ridge covers the suburbs of Bald Hills, Bracken Ridge, Carseldine and Fitzgibbon. Its north-western border follows the Brisbane City Council boundary.

Map of Bracken Ridge's 2012 and 2016 boundaries. 2012 boundaries marked as red lines, 2016 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.
Map of Bracken Ridge’s 2012 and 2016 boundaries. 2012 boundaries marked as red lines, 2016 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.

Redistribution
Bracken Ridge remained mostly intact, losing a few small areas on its southern edge to McDowall and Deagon. These changes had a minimal impact on the ward’s margins.

History
Bracken Ridge has been held by the Liberal Party since at least 1997, when it was won by Carol Cashman.

Cashman was re-elected in 2000 and 2004, the last time with a 19.2% margin.

Cashman resigned in 2007, and Amanda Cooper was appointed to the casual vacancy. Cooper was defending a 14% margin after the redistribution, which was cut slightly to 13.9%.

In 2012, Cooper won re-election with a 7.7% swing.

Candidates

Assessment
Bracken Ridge has been a safe Liberal ward for a long time, and Cooper shouldn’t have much trouble winning a third full term.

2012 council result

CandidatePartyVotes%SwingRedist
Amanda Cooper Liberal National 14,78667.0+7.967.3
Carla Pinder Labor 5,58325.3-7.325.1
Keith Skelton Greens 1,6957.7+2.37.6
Informal5512.4

2012 council two-party-preferred result

CandidatePartyVotes%SwingRedist
Amanda Cooper Liberal National 15,02771.6+7.771.8
Carla Pinder Labor 5,96228.4-7.728.2
Exhausted1,075

2012 mayoral result

CandidatePartyVotes%SwingRedist
Graham Quirk Liberal National 14,52665.7+4.165.9
Ray Smith Labor 5,64125.5-6.125.4
Andrew Bartlett Greens 1,4646.6+2.46.6
Rory KillenIndependent2461.1+1.11.1
Chris CarsonIndependent2341.1+1.11.1
Informal5032.2

2012 mayoral two-party-preferred result

CandidatePartyVotes%SwingRedist
Graham Quirk Liberal National 14,72270.8+5.171.1
Ray Smith Labor 6,05929.2-5.128.9
Exhausted1,330
Polling places in Bracken Ridge at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election. Aspley in blue, Bald Hills in green, Bracken Ridge in orange. Click to enlarge.
Polling places in Bracken Ridge at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election. Aspley in blue, Bald Hills in green, Bracken Ridge in orange. Click to enlarge.

Booth breakdown
Booths in Bracken Ridge have been split into three groups, divided between three main suburbs: Aspley in the south, Bald Hills in the north-west and Bracken Ridge in the north-east.

The LNP’s two-party-preferred margin was lowest in Bald Hills and highest in Aspley.

Voter groupLNP council 2PPLNP mayoral 2PPTotal votes% of votes
Bracken Ridge70.970.67,89237.0
Aspley74.271.85,81627.3
Bald Hills69.766.62,41811.3
Other votes71.573.15,19424.4
Two-party-preferred votes for mayor in Bracken Ridge at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election.
Two-party-preferred votes for mayor in Bracken Ridge at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election.
Two-party-preferred votes for councillor in Bracken Ridge at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election.
Two-party-preferred votes for councillor in Bracken Ridge at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election.

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