Pendulum – Australia 2013

The following table shows all House of Representatives electorates to be contested at the 2013 federal election, ordered according to two-party-preferred margin.

Labor Seats Coalition Seats
Seat Margin Seat Margin
Corangamite (VIC) ALP 0.3% Boothby (SA) LIB 0.6%
Deakin (VIC) ALP 0.6% Hasluck (WA) LIB 0.6%
Greenway (NSW) ALP 0.9% Aston (VIC) LIB 0.7%
Robertson (NSW) ALP 1.0% Dunkley (VIC) LIB 1.0%
Lindsay (NSW) ALP 1.1% Brisbane (QLD) LNP 1.1%
Moreton (QLD) ALP 1.1% Macquarie (NSW) LIB 1.3%
Banks (NSW) ALP 1.5% Forde (QLD) LNP 1.6%
La Trobe (VIC) ALP 1.7% Solomon (NT) CLP 1.8%
Petrie (QLD) ALP 2.5% Casey (VIC) LIB 1.9%
Reid (NSW) ALP 2.7% Longman (QLD) LNP 1.9%
Lilley (QLD) ALP 3.2% Herbert (QLD) LNP 2.2%
Brand (WA) ALP 3.3% Canning (WA) LIB 2.2%
Capricornia (QLD) ALP 3.7% Dawson (QLD) LNP 2.4%
Lingiari (NT) ALP 3.7% Swan (WA) LIB 2.5%
Page (NSW) ALP 4.2% Bonner (QLD) LNP 2.8%
Grayndler (NSW) ALP vs GRN 4.2% Macarthur (NSW) LIB 3.0%
Eden-Monaro (NSW) ALP 4.2% Bennelong (NSW) LIB 3.1%
Blair (QLD) ALP 4.2% Flynn (QLD) LNP 3.6%
Parramatta (NSW) ALP 4.4% Sturt (SA) LIB 3.6%
Dobell (NSW) ALP 5.1% Fisher (QLD) LNP 4.1%
Kingsford Smith (NSW) ALP 5.2% McMillan (QLD) LIB 4.2%
Rankin (QLD) ALP 5.4% Leichhardt (QLD) LNP 4.6%
Fremantle (WA) ALP 5.7% Dickson (QLD) LNP 5.1%
Oxley (QLD) ALP 5.8% Hughes (NSW) LIB 5.2%
Chisholm (VIC) ALP 5.8% Gilmore (NSW) LIB 5.3%
Perth (WA) ALP 5.9% Paterson (NSW) LIB 5.3%
Hindmarsh (SA) ALP 6.1% Higgins (VIC) LIB 5.4%
Bass (TAS) ALP 6.7% Stirling (WA) LIB 5.6%
Werriwa (NSW) ALP 6.8% Wannon (VIC) LIB 5.7%
Barton (NSW) ALP 6.9% Goldstein (VIC) LIB 6.0%
Richmond (NSW) ALP 7.0% Cowan (WA) LIB 6.3%
Braddon (TAS) ALP 7.5% Fairfax (QLD) LNP 7.0%
Adelaide (SA) ALP 7.5% Ryan (QLD) LNP 7.2%
Batman (VIC) ALP vs GRN 7.5% Mayo (SA) LIB 7.3%
Bruce (VIC) ALP 7.7% Kooyong (VIC) LIB 7.5%
McMahon (NSW) ALP 7.8% Menzies (VIC) LIB 8.7%
Melbourne Ports (VIC) ALP 7.9% Hume (NSW) LIB 8.7%
Griffith (QLD) ALP 8.5% Forrest (WA) LIB 8.7%
Fowler (NSW) ALP 8.8% Pearce (WA) LIB 8.9%
Watson (NSW) ALP 9.1% Indi (VIC) LIB 9.0%
McEwen (VIC) ALP 9.2% Flinders (VIC) LIB 9.1%
Canberra (ACT) ALP 9.2% Cowper (NSW) NAT 9.3%
Bendigo (VIC) ALP 9.4% Wright (QLD) LNP 10.2%
Isaacs (VIC) ALP 10.4% McPherson (QLD) LNP 10.3%
Wakefield (SA) ALP 10.5% Hinkler (QLD) LNP 10.4%
Franklin (TAS) ALP 10.8% Bowman (QLD) LNP 10.4%
Jagajaga (VIC) ALP 11.2% Calare (NSW) NAT 10.7%
Ballarat (VIC) ALP 11.7% Grey (SA) LIB 11.2%
Makin (SA) ALP 12.0% Moore (WA) LIB 11.2%
Throsby (NSW) ALP 12.1% Gippsland (VIC) NAT 11.5%
Blaxland (NSW) ALP 12.2% Tangney (WA) LIB 12.3%
Lyons (TAS) ALP 12.3% Cook (NSW) LIB 12.7%
Chifley (NSW) ALP 12.3% Barker (SA) LIB 13.0%
Hunter (NSW) ALP 12.5% Warringah (NSW) LIB 13.1%
Newcastle (NSW) ALP 12.5% Durack (WA) LIB 13.7%
Charlton (NSW) ALP 12.7% North Sydney (NSW) LIB 14.1%
Shortland (NSW) ALP 12.9% Fadden (QLD) LNP 14.2%
Cunningham (NSW) ALP 13.2% Farrer (NSW) LIB 14.5%
Corio (VIC) ALP 13.5% Wentworth (NSW) LIB 14.9%
Holt (VIC) ALP 14.0% Wide Bay (QLD) LNP 15.6%
Hotham (VIC) ALP 14.0% Mackellar (NSW) LIB 15.7%
Fraser (ACT) ALP 14.2% Curtin (WA) LIB 16.2%
Kingston (SA) ALP 14.6% Berowra (NSW) LIB 16.2%
Sydney (NSW) ALP 17.1% Mitchell (NSW) LIB 17.2%
Maribyrnong (VIC) ALP 17.5% Moncrieff (QLD) LNP 17.5%
Calwell (VIC) ALP 20.1% Riverina (NSW) NAT 18.2%
Scullin (VIC) ALP 20.5% Bradfield (NSW) LIB 18.2%
Port Adelaide (SA) ALP 20.9% Groom (QLD) LNP 18.5%
Lalor (VIC) ALP 22.1% Parkes (NSW) NAT 18.9%
Wills (VIC) ALP 23.5% Murray (VIC) LIB 19.6%
Gorton (VIC) ALP 23.6% Maranoa (QLD) LNP 22.9%
Gellibrand (VIC) ALP 24.1% Mallee (VIC) NAT 23.3%
Crossbench Seats
Denison (TAS) IND vs ALP 1.2%
O’Connor (WA) NWA vs LIB 3.6%
Melbourne (VIC) GRN vs ALP 5.8%
Lyne (NSW) IND vs NAT 12.7%
Kennedy (QLD) KAP vs LNP 18.3%
New England (NSW) IND vs NAT 21.5%

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Ben Raue is the founder and author of the Tally Room. If you like this post, please consider donating to support the Tally Room.