Early South African returns

Polls have closed now in South Africa. I’ll be at work soon and won’t be able to keep up with the vote-counting, but some early results have come through.

Update: with about 266,000 votes cast (out of an estimated total of about 23 million), we have:

  • ANC – 54.91% (69.69%)
  • DA – 29.89% (12.37%)
  • COPE – 7.55% (-)
  • ID – 3.22% (1.7%)
  • FF+ – 2.28% (0.89%)
  • IFP – 1.42% (6.97%)

In brackets is their 2004 performance.

If these results hold, it will be a disappointing result for the ANC, running perilously close to losing their majority. It appears that a two-thirds majority is out of reach. It is also a strong performance for Helen Zille’s Democratic Alliance, with almost 30%.

It also appears that Zille is on track to become Premier of Western Cape, where the DA is polling a solid majority. They are also running a close second in Gauteng. In comparison, the ANC won in every provincial legislature in 2004.