Warnbro – WA 2021

ALP 23.7%

Incumbent MP
Paul Papalia, since 2008. Previously Member for Peel 2007-2008.

Geography
Southern fringe of Perth metropolitan region. Warnbro covers coastal suburbs at the southern end of Rockingham council area, including Singleton, Secret Harbour, Karnup, Warnbro and Port Kennedy.

Redistribution
No change.

History
Warnbro was newly created at the 2008 redistribution, but was a smaller version of the former seat of Peel. Peel was held by Labor continuously from its creation in 1989 until its abolition.

Norm Malborough had been first elected in Cockburn in 1986, and moved to Peel in 1989. He held the seat until his resignation under a cloud of scandal in 2006.

In early 2007, the by-election was won by Labor candidate Paul Papalia.

Papalia won the new seat of Warnbro in 2008, and was re-elected in 2013 and 2017.

Candidates

  • Bob Velev (Waxit)
  • Liam Hall (One Nation)
  • Paul Papalia (Labor)
  • Mark Jones (Liberal)
  • Brandon Suchalla-Young (No Mandatory Vaccination)
  • Cameron McMaster (Liberal Democrats)
  • Robert Delves (Greens)

Assessment
Warnbro is a very safe Labor seat.

2017 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Paul Papalia Labor 13,821 60.6 +6.2
Luke Muscedere Liberal 3,631 15.9 -20.7
Alexander Scholz One Nation 2,721 11.9 +11.9
Jillian Cain Greens 1,582 6.9 -2.0
Deonne Kingsford Australian Christians 540 2.4 +2.4
Thomas Hunter Matheson for WA 286 1.3 +1.3
Samantha Figgins Micro Business 218 1.0 +1.0
Informal 1,022 4.3

2017 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Paul Papalia Labor 16,800 73.7 +13.1
Luke Muscedere Liberal 5,988 26.3 -13.1

Booth breakdown


Booths have been divided into north and south

Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in both the north (76.4%) and south (73.3%).

Voter group ON prim % ALP 2PP % Total votes % of votes
North 11.2 76.4 7,692 33.7
South 9.3 73.3 6,328 27.8
Pre-poll 14.4 72.1 4,302 18.9
Other votes 14.6 71.0 4,477 19.6

Election results in Warnbro at the 2017 WA state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and One Nation primary votes.

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