ALP 14.5%
Incumbent MP
Luba Grigorovitch, since 2022.
Geography
Outer western Melbourne. Kororoit covers the suburbs of Burnside, Burnside Heights, Caroline Springs, Deer Park, Kings Park and Ravenhall and parts of Derrimut. The seat covers south-eastern parts of the City of Melton and a small part of the City of Brimbank.
History
Kororoit was first created as an electoral district at the 2002 state election. The seat has been won by the ALP at every election since.
Kororoit was won in 2002 by Andre Haermeyer. He had previously won the newly-created marginal seat of Yan Yean in 1992. Haermeyer joined the Labor frontbench in 1996, and when Labor won government in 1999 he became Police Minister. He moved from Yan Yean to the much safer seat of Kororoit in 2002. Haermeyer moved to a new portfolio in 2005, and he moved to the backbench after the 2006 election.
Haermeyer resigned from Parliament in June 2008. The following by-election was won by Labor candidate Marlene Kairouz, and she was re-elected three times.
Kairouz retired in 2022, and Labor candidate Luba Grigorovitch won the seat.
- Jaz Chandok (New Democrats)
- Luba Grigorovitch (Labor)
- Rayan Hassan (Victorian Socialists)
- Joyce McDonald (Greens)
Assessment
Labor should be able to retain this seat.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Luba Grigorovitch | Labor | 17,468 | 43.3 | -20.1 |
| John Fletcher | Liberal | 9,801 | 24.3 | +3.5 |
| Belle Gibson | Victorian Socialists | 2,768 | 6.9 | +6.9 |
| Ben Chester | Greens | 2,650 | 6.6 | -1.7 |
| Zuzanna Brown | Democratic Labour | 2,517 | 6.2 | +6.2 |
| Melanie Milutinovic | Family First | 2,326 | 5.8 | +5.8 |
| Katherine Divita | Animal Justice | 1,242 | 3.1 | -4.5 |
| Joh Bauch | Independent | 978 | 2.4 | +2.4 |
| Jaz Chandok | New Democrats | 623 | 1.5 | +1.5 |
| Informal | 3,683 | 8.4 |
2022 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Luba Grigorovitch | Labor | 26,047 | 64.5 | -10.8 |
| John Fletcher | Liberal | 14,326 | 35.5 | +10.8 |
Booths have been divided into three areas: north-east, south-east and west.
Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 61.8% in the west to 70.2% in the north-east.
| Voter group | ALP 2PP | Total votes | % of votes |
| West | 61.8 | 7,358 | 18.3 |
| South-East | 64.6 | 2,884 | 7.2 |
| North-East | 70.2 | 1,621 | 4.0 |
| Pre-poll | 65.0 | 21,933 | 54.7 |
| Other votes | 62.8 | 6,321 | 15.8 |
Election results in Kororoit at the 2022 Victorian state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor and the Liberal Party.
Labor primary vote took a massive dive here, while I think the margin is too large through if there is a anti Labor swing out this way then this seat could become marginal.
The seat is likely too safe to be worth the effort, but the sitting MP seems a bit disconnected from the community, and has a bit of a history with some unsavoury types but has been promoted to the ministry anyway. Could see the margin and her primary receive a further trim here but not sure the Liberals or ONP run a big campaign here. Potentially they try to draw attention to her more in an effort to damage the party brand statewide
@ Maxim
This seat comes in two half. The Western Half in Melton counci-Caroline Springs, Deanside etc are more like Sydenham demographically while the Eastern Half-Brimbank council Deer Park, Kings Park is more like St Albans deprived and very strong for Labor. I expect ONP to do well in Caroline Springs given large Maltese and Croatian communities.
It’s clear that Luba Grigorovitch is accident prone and if Labor were smart that pressure her to resign from the front bench and not contest the upcoming election at the end of this year.
I’m flabbergasted that she was the right’s preferred candidate for promotion in the re-shuffle – is it incompetence or sabotage?
The issue it seems is some of these members from the western suburbs had favour with the previous premier and effectively were rewarded for it. I can understand the difficult position Allen is in is if she starts changing too many things within the party you start to make a lot of enemies and given her other problems that’s the last thing she needs at the moment.