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At the moment looks like Labor will win 2, Green 1, the question I think is will One nation win 1 or 2 seats of the coalition
At the moment, One Nation is polling much higher than the Coalition. The most probable result is One Nation gets 2 and the Coalition (or should I say, Liberal), gets 1.
Currently it would also seem that Labor are not assured of the second seat anywhere. It would seem that #1 of ALP, ON and LNP would get elected but it will be a slog to get #4, #5 and #6 elected with Greens in probable box seat for #4. There is nothing to say that someone like Legalise Cannabis won’t come through especially after the Greebs have been elected. And we haven’t even discussed Allegra Spenders and Zali Steggalls new party with the totally forgettable name.
Given David Shoebridge made comments saying that The Greens would oppose military aid to Ukraine, I wonder how it could fare among more moderate Green Voter? This is given that Ukraine seems to be amongst the only issues that unites all factions of both Labor and The Coalition as well as the Teals.
@ Marh
I think it maybe unpopular in places like Ryan and the Tealish Greens but may do well in Green Left areas like Wills. It maybe popular among CALD communities who want an Anti-West Foreign policy.