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This seat has a history of being close but I think as the population grows and the seat shrinks Labor should hold on.
@ SpaceFish
This is a possible Liberal win. The seat of Tullamarine which covers much of the same area was Liberal held during the Kennett seat is is less industrial and more middle class also not very ethnically diverse. The delay to Airport Rail will hurt Labor here but Metro Tunnel/Level crossing removals will mitigate some of that anger.
I was more saying long term however, I do agree in the short term this seat is vulnerable.