To provide the best experiences, we use technologies like cookies to store and/or access device information. Consenting to these technologies will allow us to process data such as browsing behavior or unique IDs on this site. Not consenting or withdrawing consent, may adversely affect certain features and functions.
The technical storage or access is strictly necessary for the legitimate purpose of enabling the use of a specific service explicitly requested by the subscriber or user, or for the sole purpose of carrying out the transmission of a communication over an electronic communications network.
The technical storage or access is necessary for the legitimate purpose of storing preferences that are not requested by the subscriber or user.
The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for statistical purposes.
The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for anonymous statistical purposes. Without a subpoena, voluntary compliance on the part of your Internet Service Provider, or additional records from a third party, information stored or retrieved for this purpose alone cannot usually be used to identify you.
The technical storage or access is required to create user profiles to send advertising, or to track the user on a website or across several websites for similar marketing purposes.
Unlock with Patreon
Is there a chance Zoe Daniel might run here?
And would she have a shot at winning?
@ James
Before i mention Zoe Daniel. This seat comes into 2 parts along the Frankston line it is middle class and part of the Sandbelt the low margin is due to Labor having a thumping result there due to Metro Tunnel/Level crossing removals.
Zoe Daniel may have a shot of the Libs move rightwards on net zero
@Nimalan – thanks for clarifying about this seats demographics. I’ve felt the coastal areas are quite Liberal while the inland areas are more Labor voting, so good to see the explanation.
Correct me if I’m wrong, the Victorian Liberals still have a net-zero target for 2050? If that is the case then they should be relatively fine in Sandringham and other tealish seats. If they abandon it, I’d be quite worried.
Add on that Zoe might not have the best reputation in the community after prematurely celebrating retaining Goldstein yet going on to lose it. Don’t think Brad Rowswell has any sort of controversy which could muck up his chances.
@ James
Both parties have a 2045 Net Zero target. However, they maybe pressure to abandon it from the Liberal membership/Sky News. In Victoria climate wars theoritically should be less as there is no Coal export industry, domestic coal declining for decades and the only Coal seat Morwell is now a Nationals seat so there is less need to use it as a wedge. However, many in the Victorian Liberal party are ideological so i would not be surprised if there is a push to drop it.
I feel one reason Zoe lost was due to Israel which is not a factor in Sandringham as the most Jewish parts of Goldstein are in Cauflield and to a lesser extent East Brighton and Bentleigh.
could Zoe Dnaiel run in Bentleigh instead?
John – not a bad idea as she’d be less likely to win, keeping her free to run in Goldstein again and be able to bring an “I ran against Labor!” narrative to that campaign
John
Bentleigh is middle class so classic ALP/LIB territory people dont need to hold their nose to vote Labor. People there are focus on bread/butter issues
Labor has done a lot for the seat
Nick Staikos is popular
@nimalna what about voting liberal?
There is a decent Liberal vote in Bentleigh and whenever they are in government they hold it so there is no need for Liberal voters to tactically vote for her to get rid of Staikos. Fremantle and Bean where different cases.