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Was told that at least 8 people have come out of the woodwork seeking Liberal preselection in this seat, only way Haylett holds is if she defects to the crossbench IMO, Nats may also consider running here
I think the Nats would be fabourites here.
Id put my money on Nats gain unless Louise staley recontests
@dragons agreed the only way Libs are a chance is if Stanley reconnects otherwise nats should win here
I’m not sure the Nats have much in the way of local branches or even a candidate in mind yet though?
There was a media article a while ago about the Nats running Jo Armstrong, she’s apparently their state party president but a neville nobody in the context of the electorate. Can’t see her setting the world on fire or achieving much.
Hmm, she’s based in Ballarat I think – potentially a better fit for Eureka
If these farmers are from Ripon. Labor are screwed
https://www.facebook.com/share/v/1CFy4x8P3d/
These farmers (sic) are the Victorian National Party and they are protesting against farmers receiving income from hosting energy infrastructure on their properties.
Interesting, the tractor driving senator lives in the inner suburbs of Melbourne. Another examples of the Nationals driving themselves to extinction.
Labor certainly faces challenges here that they dont in Pakenham or the Narre Warrens. However, in Ripon Labor does well in the townships while Libs in rural areas.
Either way based on the scenes in Ballarat. Labor is probably gon a lose Ripon. Libs might do well in Wendouree as well
@ John
As i mentioned Wendouree before to you is entirely urban no farms so transmission lines, Emergency service leavy are not relevant. I have always said Eureka is a seat to watch.
Still Ballarat swung to the libs in a year when the libs fell over themselves federally.
Eureka should be close. Libs will need it to form government. The redistribution will probably lose golden Plains and gain the rest of Moorabool from melton
Yes i think a good chance of Eureka being picked up. However, no redistibution in 2026. Wendouree needs an 11% swing i think Libs will get 4% in Wendoree and 6-8% in Eureka.
With serious effort and decent candidates all of Ripon, Eureka and Bendigo East are winnable – even with the Premier holding the latter. It is not just power lines but the fire services levy and road conditions major issues in regional Victoria. It could be the inverse of 1999 coming.
Agreed the libs will need Ripon and Eureka to win government. Bendigo East not so much as it’s one of the bonus seats that only the right candidate would get up in. There is a big social divide in Bendigo and most of the less well off vote tends to solidify behind Labor