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@ Spacefish
Let me figure out to use discord. in any case the point i am trying to make is that some outer suburban seats like Greenvale, the Narre Warrens, Cranbourne are very diverse. In those seats ONP may do well among White Working class voters however, i dont know why Posh White people are spooked by ONP but poor ethnic voters are indifferent. I do think Sunbury, Niddire etc will swing more than many Eastern suburbs seats etc.
@ Maxim
While this maybe ancedote i actually know some empty nesters who have sold large houses in Templestowe etc once their children moved out and then downsized to townhouses etc in Boorondorra. It is possible that a baby boomer once their children have married etc may sell a big house in Rowville and move to a smaller property in Hawthorn etc so that is the reverse trend of what is commonly said. Also from my experience the young renters who live in Hawthorn tend to be young professionals in Private sector jobs in Finance, Legal or IT who went to Private schools etc who i assume will be Fiscally Conservative even if Socially moderate.