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I know there’s been some rumblings of a teal running here and making a notable play. I feel for a few reasons this seat is a likely retain for the Liberals.
This was the strongest Liberal area in Goldstein. Brighton is safely blue with a lot of affluent voters who pump up the Liberal vote into double digit margins. There is also a decent Jewish population around Brighton East, and if federal results among Jewish voters are to go by then they seem to be trending largely blue as well.
The notable increase in crime and robberies in Brighton would play well with Brad Battin’s law and order agenda he has been heavily promoting, likely pushing voters towards the Liberals who are concerned with crime.
Unless Zoe Daniel decides to run here (I think she’d rather run in Sandringham because her base is in Brighton), and it’s just a ‘cookie cutter’ teal running, then should be a comfortable retain for James Newbury.
@ James
You are correct. i think Zoe Daniel is better running in Sandringham where the Jewish community is smaller and crime rates lower.