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I’m not sure if it’s confirmed or even likely, but the Nats are very keen for Andrew Lethlean to run here, given how much of a dent he was able to put into Chesters’ margin in an unfavourable Federal cycle I’d have to rate him a decent chance here even if Allan remains leader, more data points needed to confirm but my analysis of RedBridge subregional polling (and what occurred federally) tells me that Labor support is still holding up in the outer suburbs of Melbourne but the rural backlash against state Labor is beginning to spill into the provincial cities of Ballarat and Bendigo in particular. We saw just how crucial local campaigning can be here too – and if Allan is leader she won’t be around much and if she’s not I doubt she’ll be contesting.
Could allen switch to Bendigo West to save herself?