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What could save the Nationals is Darren Chester as he is very popular although if the One Nation momentum is still there in 2028 he might not be able to withstand it.
The big risk for the Nats is that Darren Chester doesn’t recontest in 2028. He will be 60 and would have been MP for 20 years. Assuming he runs again, he would seem hard to dislodge unless the ON vote was well upside of 40% or there was total NP collapse so that the Nats ended up behind a combined Labor plus Greens vote.