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The tpp over the last couple of decades has narrowed up significantly between Labor with it being marginal in 2016 and 2022. The narrowing up might have to do with Melbournes urban sprawl now very slightly in this seat plus the growth in the ski towns.
@spaceFish, Melbourne doesn’t stretch to Indi. It used to when Indi covered Craigieburn.
Oops sorry, just realised I’ve confused Indi with McEwen. Indi has moved closer to Melbourne, however the seat has stayed north of the ranges.
@Spacefish Not just the ski resorts but the major centres like Benalla, Wodonga and Wangaratta are all trending progressive some way or another. Then you also have tree change towns like Beechworth, Yackandandah, Rutherglen which are all very left-leaning, leans heavily on tourism and have a lot of professionals, artists, tertiary educated people.
Interestingly though the closer you get to Melbourne the more conservative it gets (e.g. Eildon) but Kinglake still votes IND heavily given it’s a peri-urban town of Melbourne metro anyway.
@Tommo9, I wouldn’t call Benalla, Wodonga and Wangaratta progressive. Helen Haines is strongest in northern areas, that have been traditionally part of Indi, and Haines has a lot of support amongst traditionally conservative voters that swung to Cathy McGowan. Only Beechworth and Yachandandra in the northern part could be classed as progressive.
@ Tommo9
Pencil is correct the big towns like Wodonga, Wangratta are not progressive. Some smaller towns especially those at high elevations such as Kinglake, Bright etc are Progressive as are historical Goldfields towns such as Beechworth as they attract tree changers. Some of this high elevation towns are notable for Autumn leaves and even get snowfall in Winter.
https://www.worldatlas.com/cities/9-prettiest-small-towns-in-victoria.html
@Tommo9, Rutherglen actually voted Lineral as recently as 2019 federally.