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The Liberals have done so poorly in some of the southern booth that they have fallen to fourth place.
Interestingly, last election there were swings away from the Greens in the wealthier northern suburbs (Coledale, Austinmer, Thirroul) and inner-western suburbs with a high number of white-collar professionals and students (Gwynneville, Keiraville, Mount Keira). There were sizable swings to the Greens in traditionally working-class suburbs south of Wollongong’s town centre.
The Liberals will fall to fourth place next election if the recent One Nation polling surge eventuates. The southern suburbs (south of Wollongong’s CBD) are economically reliant on steelmaking and shipping. The economic nationalism rhetoric of One Nation could win over more socially conservative, blue-collar workers.